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Recent theoretical work in causal inference has explored an important class of variables which, when conditioned on, may further amplify existing unmeasured confounding bias (bias amplification). Despite this theoretical work, existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-20 Tyrel Stokes , Russell Steele , Ian Shrier

Active statistical inference is a new method for inference with AI-assisted data collection. Given a budget on the number of labeled data points that can be collected and assuming access to an AI predictive model, the basic idea is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Puheng Li , Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel Candès

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

Missing observations are pervasive throughout empirical research, especially in the social sciences. Despite multiple approaches to dealing adequately with missing data, many scholars still fail to address this vital issue. In this paper,…

Almost all fields of science rely upon statistical inference to estimate unknown parameters in theoretical and computational models. While the performance of modern computer hardware continues to grow, the computational requirements for the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-25 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Electronic health records and other sources of observational data are increasingly used for drawing causal inferences. The estimation of a causal effect using these data not meant for research purposes is subject to confounding and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-19 Janie Coulombe , Shu Yang

Data augmentation in time series forecasting plays a crucial role in enhancing model performance by introducing variability while maintaining the underlying temporal patterns. However, time series data offers fewer augmentation strategies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Dang Nha Nguyen , Hai Dang Nguyen , Khoa Tho Anh Nguyen

Transferring representation for multitask imitation learning has the potential to provide improved sample efficiency on learning new tasks, when compared to learning from scratch. In this work, we provide a statistical guarantee indicating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Bryan Chan , Karime Pereida , James Bergstra

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the finite population mean when some information on two auxiliary attributes are available. It is shown that the proposed estimator is more efficient than the usual mean estimator and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Sachin Malik , Rajesh Singh

In modern data analysis, it is common to select a model before performing statistical inference. Selective inference tools make adjustments for the model selection process in order to ensure reliable inference post selection. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Yumeng Wang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Xuming He

Learning parity functions, more general modular addition, is a challenging machine learning task due to its input sensitivity. A recent study substantially scaled modular addition learning in both the number of summands and the modulus. Its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Hanato Kikuchi , Ryosuke Masuya , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

The importance of exploring a potential integration among surveys has been acknowledged in order to enhance effectiveness and minimize expenses. In this work, we employ the alignment method to combine information from two different surveys…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Vasilis Chasiotis , Dimitris Karlis

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey

We compute bias, variance, and approximate confidence intervals for the efficiency of a random selection process under various special conditions that occur in practical data analysis. We consider the following cases: a) the number of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling

In the absence of randomized controlled and natural experiments, it is necessary to balance the distributions of (observable) covariates of the treated and control groups in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of a causal effect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-02 Martin Cousineau , Vedat Verter , Susan A. Murphy , Joelle Pineau

Sample splitting is widely used in statistical applications, including classically in classification and more recently for inference post model selection. Motivating by problems in the study of diet, physical activity, and health, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Eli S. Kravitz , Raymond J. Carroll , David Ruppert

We consider statistical inference for errors-in-variables regression models with dependent observations under the high dimensionality of the error covariance matrix. It is tempting to prewhiten the model and data that had led to efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-08 Jingkun Qiu , Hanyue Chen , Song Xi Chen

Missing data imputation can help improve the performance of prediction models in situations where missing data hide useful information. This paper compares methods for imputing missing categorical data for supervised classification tasks.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-11 Jason Poulos , Rafael Valle

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

Additive regression models have a long history in multivariate nonparametric regression. They provide a model in which each regression function depends only on a single explanatory variable allowing to obtain estimators at the optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Graciela Boente , Alejandra Martinez
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