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Precise radial velocity measurements have led to the discovery of ~170 extrasolar planetary systems. Understanding the uncertainties in the orbital solutions will become increasingly important as the discovery space for extrasolar planets…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Eric B. Ford

A Bayesian re-analysis of published radial velocity data sets is providing evidence for additional planetary candidates. The nonlinear model fitting is accomplished with a new hybrid Markov chain Monte Carlo (HMCMC) algorithm which…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2009-02-13 P. C. Gregory

Efficient Monte Carlo (MC) sampling of many-body systems with long-range electrostatics is often limited by the cost of per-move energy-difference evaluation under periodic boundary conditions. We present DMK-MC, an accelerated MC method…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-15 Xuanzhao Gao , Shidong Jiang , Jiuyang Liang , Qi Zhou

Precise radial velocity measurements have led to the discovery of ~100 extrasolar planetary systems. We investigate the uncertainty in the orbital solutions that have been fit to these observations. Understanding these uncertainties will…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-05 Eric B. Ford

Useful information can be retrieved by analysing the transit light curve of a planet-hosting star or induced radial velocity oscillations. However, inferring the physical parameters of the planet, such as mass, size, and semi-major axis,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-04 Andrea Bonfanti , Michaël Gillon

We describe the public release of the Cluster Monte Carlo Code (CMC) a parallel, star-by-star $N$-body code for modeling dense star clusters. CMC treats collisional stellar dynamics using H\'enon's method, where the cumulative effect of…

We develop an Evolutionary Markov Chain Monte Carlo (EMCMC) algorithm for sampling spatial partitions that lie within a large and complex spatial state space. Our algorithm combines the advantages of evolutionary algorithms (EAs) as…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-19 Wendy K. Tam Cho , Yan Y. Liu

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proves to be powerful for Bayesian inference and in particular for exoplanet radial velocity fitting because MCMC provides more statistical information and makes better use of data than common approaches like…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-01-30 Fengji Hou , Jonathan Goodman , David W. Hogg , Jonathan Weare , Christian Schwab

In this work, we propose a new flow-matching Markov chain Monte Carlo (FM-MCMC) algorithm for estimating the orbital parameters of exoplanetary systems, especially for those only one exoplanet is involved. Compared to traditional methods…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-10 Bo Liang , Hanlin Song , Chang Liu , Tianyu Zhao , Yuxiang Xu , Zihao Xiao , Manjia Liang , Minghui Du , Wei-Liang Qian , Li-e Qiang , Peng Xu , Ziren Luo

Traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods suffer from low acceptance rate, slow mixing and low efficiency in high dimensions. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo resolves this issue by avoiding the random walk. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Amir Hajian

Retrieval of orbital parameters of extrasolar planets poses considerable statistical challenges.Due to sparse sampling, measurement errors, parameters degeneracy and modelling limitations, there are no unique values of basic parameters,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sreekumar T. Balan , Ofer Lahav

The "gravitational million-body problem," to model the dynamical evolution of a self-gravitating, collisional N-body system with ~10^6 particles over many relaxation times, remains a major challenge in computational astrophysics.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-07 Carl L. Rodriguez , Bharath Pattabiraman , Sourav Chatterjee , Alok Choudhary , Wei-keng Liao , Meagan Morscher , Frederic A. Rasio

We present a new parallel code for computing the dynamical evolution of collisional N-body systems with up to N~10^7 particles. Our code is based on the the Henon Monte Carlo method for solving the Fokker-Planck equation, and makes…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Bharath Pattabiraman , Stefan Umbreit , Wei-Keng Liao , Alok Choudhary , Vassiliki Kalogera , Gokhan Memik , Frederic A. Rasio

Many exoplanetary systems are multiplanet configurations whose long-term dynamics are governed by N-body gravitational interactions. Consequently, their detection signatures cannot be adequately described by Keplerian orbits. Accurately…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-13 Hong-Fei Jia , Sheng Jin , Dong-Hong Wu , Shang-Fei Liu

This paper introduces a novel Monte Carlo (MC) method to simulate the evolution of the low-earth orbit environment, enhancing the MIT Orbital Capacity Analysis Tool (MOCAT). In recent decades, numerous space environment models have been…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-15 Daniel Jang , Davide Gusmini , Peng Mun Siew , Andrea D'Ambrosio , Simone Servadio , Pablo Machuca , Richard Linares

Radial velocity (RV) planet searches are increasingly finding planets with small velocity amplitudes, with long orbital periods, or in multiple planet systems. Bayesian inference has the potential to improve the interpretation of existing…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eric B. Ford , Philip C. Gregory

The study of multiple extrasolar planetary systems has the opportunity to obtain constraints for the planetary masses and orbital inclinations via the detection of mutual perturbations. The analysis of precise radial velocity measurements…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 András Pál

The goal of this paper is to estimate an optimal combination of biomarkers for individuals with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), which provides the most sensitive combinations of biomarkers to assess disease progression (in this case,…

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that generates proposals for a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm by simulating the dynamics of a Hamiltonian system. However, HMC is sensitive to large time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-15 Xiaoyu Lu , Valerio Perrone , Leonard Hasenclever , Yee Whye Teh , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a very popular and generic collection of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. One explanation for the popularity of HMC algorithms is their excellent performance as the dimension $d$ of the target…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Oren Mangoubi , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith
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