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The Poisson process is the most elementary continuous-time stochastic process that models a stream of repeating events. It is uniquely characterised by a single parameter called the rate. Instead of a single value for this rate, we here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

We consider the feature detection problem in the presence of clutter in point processes on linear networks. We extend the classification method developed in previous studies to this more complex geometric context, where the classical…

Finding the most powerful node in a dynamic random network, the largest set in a partition-valued stochastic process, or the largest family in an evolving population at a given time, can be a very difficult problem. This is particularly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Cécile Mailler , Peter Mörters , Anna Senkevich

Some models of clustering processes are formulated and analytically solved employing generating functions methods. Those models include events which result from combined action of the coagulation and fragmentation processes. Fragmentation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Vladimir M. Dubovik , Arkadi G. Galperin , Viktor S. Richvitsky , Aleksey A. Lushnikov

Rare event sampling algorithms are essential for understanding processes that occur infrequently on the molecular scale, yet they are important for the long-time dynamics of complex molecular systems. One of these algorithms, transition…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-19 Sebastian Falkner , Alessandro Coretti , Baron Peters , Peter G. Bolhuis , Christoph Dellago

A semi-process is an analog of the semi-flow for non-autonomous differential equations or inclusions. We prove an abstract result on the existence of measurable semi-processes in the situations where there is no uniqueness. Also, we allow…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Jorge E. Cardona , Lev Kapitanski

In a previous paper, we studied a kernel estimate of the upper edge of a two-dimensional bounded set, based upon the extreme values of a Poisson point process. The initial paper "Geffroy J. (1964) Sur un probl\`eme d'estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

Sequential sampling occurs when the entire population is not known in advance and data are obtained one at a time or in groups of units. This manuscript proposes a new algorithm to sequentially select a balanced sample. The algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-04 Raphaël Jauslin , Bardia Panahbehagh , Yves Tillé

We study the optimal sequencing of a batch of tasks on a machine subject to random disruptions driven by a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP), such that every disruption requires the interrupted task to be re-processed from scratch, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Lingjiong Zhu , Anand Paul , Haldun Aytug

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

In this paper, we give sufficient conditions to establish central limit theorems for boundary estimates of Poisson point processes. The considered estimates are obtained by smoothing some bias corrected extreme values of the point process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

We study a class of branching processes in which the offspring distribution is not specified directly but is induced by a cycle of internal colony growth, catastrophic reduction and structured dispersal. The parameters governing growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lucas R. de Lima , Fábio P. Machado

Many random combinatorial objects have a component structure whose joint distribution is equal to that of a process of mutually independent random variables, conditioned on the value of a weighted sum of the variables. It is interesting to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-16 Richard Arratia , Simon Tavare

We investigate a balance network of the asymmetric simple exclusion process (ASEP). Subsystems consisting of ASEPs are connected by bidirectional links with each other, which results in balance between every pair of subsystems. The network…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-02-18 Takahiro Ezaki , Katsuhiro Nishinari

The randomized $k$-number partitioning problem is the task to distribute $N$ i.i.d. random variables into $k$ groups in such a way that the sums of the variables in each group are as similar as possible. The restricted $k$-partitioning…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Irina Kurkova

Gaussian processes (GPs) are the most common formalism for defining probability distributions over spaces of functions. While applications of GPs are myriad, a comprehensive understanding of GP sample paths, i.e. the function spaces over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Nathaël Da Costa , Marvin Pförtner , Lancelot Da Costa , Philipp Hennig

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

We prove a multidimensional Poisson limit theorem in free probability, and define joint free Poisson distributions in a non-commutative probability space. We define (compound) free Poisson process explicitly, similar to the definitions of…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Guimei An , Mingchu Gao