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Linear diffusions are used to model a large number of stochastic processes in physics, including small mechanical and electrical systems perturbed by thermal noise, as well as Brownian particles controlled by electrical and optical forces.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Johan du Buisson , Hugo Touchette

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

In this paper we consider convergence of moments in the small-time limit theorems for L\'evy processes. We provide precise asymptotics for all the absolute moments of positive order. The convergence of moments in limit theorems holds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Danijel Grahovac

Convergence results for averages of independent replications of counting processes are established in a $p$-variation setting and under certain assumptions. Such convergence results can be combined with functional differentiability results…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-12 Morten Overgaard

We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

A simple (2+1) dimensional discrete model is introduced to study the evolution of solid surface morphologies during ion-beam sputtering. The model is based on the same assumptions about the erosion process as the existing analytic theories.…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-07 Alexander K. Hartmann , Reiner Kree , Ulrich Geyer , Matthias Koelbel

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

Stable subordinators, and more general subordinators possessing power law probability tails, have been widely used in the context of subdiffusions, where particles get trapped or immobile in a number of time periods, called constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Phillip Kerger , Kei Kobayashi

Discrete stability extends the classical notion of stability to random elements in discrete spaces by defining a scaling operation in a randomised way: an integer is transformed into the corresponding binomial distribution. Similarly…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

We propose an interpolation expression using the difference moment (Kolmogorov transient structural function) of the second order as the average characteristic of displacements for identifying the anomalous diffusion in complex processes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-08-25 Serge F. Timashev , Yuriy S. Polyakov , Pavel I. Misurkin , Sergey G. Lakeev

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

There are numerous examples of natural and artificial processes that represent stochastic sequences of events followed by an absolute refractory period during which the occurrence of a subsequent event is impossible. In the simplest case of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-24 A. V. Paraskevov , A. S. Minkin

We construct (modified) scattering operators for the Vlasov-Poisson system in three dimensions, mapping small asymptotic dynamics as $t\to -\infty$ to asymptotic dynamics as $t\to +\infty$. The main novelty is the construction of modified…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Patrick Flynn , Zhimeng Ouyang , Benoit Pausader , Klaus Widmayer

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

Linear mixed models with large imbalanced crossed random effects structures pose severe computational problems for maximum likelihood estimation and for Bayesian analysis. The costs can grow as fast as $N^{3/2}$ when there are N…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 K. Gao , A. B. Owen

A general model for stationary, time-wise turbulent velocity is presented and discussed. This approach, inspired by modeling ideas of Barndorff-Nielsen and Schimgel, is coherent with the K41 hypothesis of local isotropy, and it allows us to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-05-31 Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Claudia Klüppelberg

In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher

We propose a semiparametric independent-component model for the intensity functions of a point process. When independent replications of the process are available, we show that the estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Daniel Gervini

We consider discrete time models for asset prices with a stationary volatility process. We aim at estimating the multivariate density of this process at a set of consecutive time instants. A Fourier type deconvolution kernel density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten
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