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We consider the problem of estimating the Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) samples. For the classic sample average approximation (SAA) of OCE, we derive mean-squared error as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Ayon Ghosh , L. A. Prashanth , Krishna Jagannathan

Given a prediction task, understanding when one can and cannot design a consistent convex surrogate loss, particularly a low-dimensional one, is an important and active area of machine learning research. The prediction task may be given as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Jessie Finocchiaro , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

We develop minimax optimal risk bounds for the general learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a reference set $\mathcal{G}$ up to the smallest possible additive term, called the convergence rate. When the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Jean-Yves Audibert

This paper studies high-dimensional M-estimation in the proportional asymptotic regime (p/n -> gamma > 0) when the noise distribution has infinite variance. For noise with regularly-varying tails of index alpha in (1,2), we establish that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Charalampos Agiropoulos

A simple construction of adaptive confidence sets is proposed in isotonic, convex and unimodal regression. In univariate isotonic regression, the proposed confidence set enjoys uniform coverage over all non-decreasing regression functions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Pierre C. Bellec

Let $Q_{n}^{r}$ be the graph with vertex set $\{-1,1\}^{n}$ in which two vertices are joined if their Hamming distance is at most $r$. The edge-isoperimetric problem for $Q_{n}^{r}$ is that: For every $(n,r,M)$ such that $1\le r\le n$ and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Lei Yu

Polyhedral estimate is a generic efficiently computable nonlinear in observations routine for recovering unknown signal belonging to a given convex compact set from noisy observation of signal's linear image. Risk analysis and optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

We consider an on-line least squares regression problem with optimal solution $\theta^*$ and Hessian matrix H, and study a time-average stochastic gradient descent estimator of $\theta^*$. For $k\ge2$, we provide an unbiased estimator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahalé

We describe a hierarchical Bayesian approach for inference about a parameter $\theta$ lower-bounded by $\alpha$ with uncertain $\alpha$, derive some basic identities for posterior analysis about $(\theta,\alpha)$, and provide illustrations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Éric Marchand , Theodoros Nicoleris

Analysis of non-asymptotic estimation error and structured statistical recovery based on norm regularized regression, such as Lasso, needs to consider four aspects: the norm, the loss function, the design matrix, and the noise model. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-01 Arindam Banerjee , Sheng Chen , Farideh Fazayeli , Vidyashankar Sivakumar

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We study the behavior of high-dimensional robust regression estimators in the asymptotic regime where $p/n$ tends to a finite non-zero limit. More specifically, we study ridge-regularized estimators, i.e…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Noureddine El Karoui

We propose a likelihood ratio statistic for forming hypothesis tests and confidence intervals for a nonparametrically estimated univariate regression function, based on the shape restriction of concavity (alternatively, convexity). Dealing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Charles R. Doss

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

``Localization'' has proven to be a valuable tool in the Statistical Learning literature as it allows sharp risk bounds in terms of the problem geometry. Localized bounds seem to be much less exploited in the Stochastic Optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

In this work, we study the problem of distributed mean estimation with $1$-bit communication constraints when the variance is unknown. We focus on the specific case where each user has access to one i.i.d. sample drawn from a distribution…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Ritesh Kumar , Shashank Vatedka

We consider a general monotone regression estimation where we allow for independent and dependent regressors. We propose a modification of the classical isotonic least squares estimator and establish its rate of convergence for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Konstantinos Fokianos , Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

We consider the problem of estimating an unknown coordinate-wise monotone function given noisy measurements, known as the isotonic regression problem. Often, only a small subset of the features affects the output. This motivates the sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 David Gamarnik , Julia Gaudio
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