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We consider the problem of isotonic regression, where the underlying signal $x$ is assumed to satisfy a monotonicity constraint, that is, $x$ lies in the cone $\{ x\in\mathbb{R}^n : x_1 \leq \dots \leq x_n\}$. We study the isotonic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-01 Fan Yang , Rina Foygel Barber

This work examines risk bounds for nonparametric distributional regression estimators. For convex-constrained distributional regression, general upper bounds are established for the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the…

Minimax lower bounds are pessimistic in nature: for any given estimator, minimax lower bounds yield the existence of a worst-case target vector $\beta^*_{worst}$ for which the prediction error of the given estimator is bounded from below.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Pierre C Bellec

An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for the estimation problem of heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (an oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

Motivated by models for multiway comparison data, we consider the problem of estimating a coordinate-wise isotonic function on the domain $[0, 1]^d$ from noisy observations collected on a uniform lattice, but where the design points have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Ashwin Pananjady , Richard J. Samworth

Isotonic regression is a shape-constrained nonparametric regression in which the regression is an increasing step function. For $n$ data points, the number of steps in the isotonic regression may be as large as $n$. As a result, standard…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-10 Janis Hardwick , Quentin F. Stout

We study the least squares regression function estimator over the class of real-valued functions on $[0,1]^d$ that are increasing in each coordinate. For uniformly bounded signals and with a fixed, cubic lattice design, we establish that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-01 Qiyang Han , Tengyao Wang , Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Richard J. Samworth

We find the local rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) of a one dimensional convex regression function when (a) a certain number of derivatives vanish at the point of interest, and (b) the true regression function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 Promit Ghosal , Bodhisattva Sen

We develop a new approach for the estimation of a multivariate function based on the economic axioms of quasiconvexity (and monotonicity). On the computational side, we prove the existence of the quasiconvex constrained least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Somabha Mukherjee , Rohit K. Patra , Andrew L. Johnson , Hiroshi Morita

An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (oracle inequality) is obtained

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

We study early-stopped mirror descent (ESMD) for high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression over arbitrary convex bodies and design matrices, where the task is to minimize the in-sample mean squared error. Our main result shows that some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Tobias Wegel , Gil Kur , Patrick Rebeschini

We estimate convex polytopes and general convex sets in $\mathbb R^d,d\geq 2$ in the regression framework. We measure the risk of our estimators using a $L^1$-type loss function and prove upper bounds on these risks. We show that, in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We study the nonparametric least squares estimator (LSE) of a multivariate convex regression function. The LSE, given as the solution to a quadratic program with $O(n^2)$ linear constraints ($n$ being the sample size), is difficult to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-29 Rahul Mazumder , Arkopal Choudhury , Garud Iyengar , Bodhisattva Sen

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. When the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-06 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

This paper revisits a fundamental problem in statistical inference from a non-asymptotic theoretical viewpoint $\unicode{x2013}$ the construction of confidence sets. We establish a finite-sample bound for the estimator, characterizing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

Consider estimating a structured signal $\mathbf{x}_0$ from linear, underdetermined and noisy measurements $\mathbf{y}=\mathbf{A}\mathbf{x}_0+\mathbf{z}$, via solving a variant of the lasso algorithm: $\hat{\mathbf{x}}=\arg\min_\mathbf{x}\{…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-28 Christos Thrampoulidis , Samet Oymak , Babak Hassibi

We study the problem of estimating piecewise monotone vectors. This problem can be seen as a generalization of the isotonic regression that allows a small number of order-violating changepoints. We focus mainly on the performance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Kentaro Minami

This paper extends the standard chaining technique to prove excess risk upper bounds for empirical risk minimization with random design settings even if the magnitude of the noise and the estimates is unbounded. The bound applies to many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 Gábor Balázs , András György , Csaba Szepesvári