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The main purpose of percolation theory is to model phase transitions in a variety of random systems, which is highly valuable in fields related to materials physics, biology, or otherwise unrelated areas like oil extraction or even quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-28 Daniel García Solla

Monte Carlo experiments produce samples in order to estimate features of a given distribution. However, simultaneous estimation of means and quantiles has received little attention, despite being common practice. In this setting we…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-24 Nathan Robertson , James M. Flegal , Dootika Vats , Galin L. Jones

We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

We propose a formally valid machine-learning-assisted global proposal mechanism for Monte Carlo sampling in lattice gauge theory. The construction is based on a coupling-flow update on the SU(2) lattice-link manifold, in which active links…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2026-05-27 Seung-il Nam

We develop and analyze a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for multivariate jump-diffusion processes with state-dependent drift, volatility, jump intensity and jump size. A change of measure argument is used to extend existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Guanting Chen , Alex Shkolnik , Kay Giesecke

Light diffusion is usually associated with thick, opaque media. Indeed, multiple scattering is necessary for the onset of the diffusive regime and such condition is generally not met in almost transparent media. Nonetheless, at long enough…

Transition path theory (TPT) for diffusion processes is a framework for analysing the transitions of multiscale ergodic diffusion processes between disjoint metastable subsets of state space. Most methods for applying TPT involve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Nada Cvetković , Tim Conrad , Han Cheng Lie

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

Diffusion processes with boundaries are models of transport phenomena with wide applicability across many fields. These processes are described by their probability density functions (PDFs), which often obey Fokker-Planck equations (FPEs).…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Haozhe Shan , Rubén Moreno-Bote , Jan Drugowitsch

Many problems in materials science and biology involve particles interacting with strong, short-ranged bonds, that can break and form on experimental timescales. Treating such bonds as constraints can significantly speed up sampling their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Miranda Holmes-Cerfon

Monte Carlo simulations of lattice quantum field theories on Lefschetz thimbles are non trivial. We discuss a new Monte Carlo algorithm based on the idea of computing contributions to the functional integral which come from complete flow…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2016-11-28 Francesco Di Renzo , Giovanni Eruzzi

We present two data-driven methods for estimating reachable sets with probabilistic guarantees. Both methods make use of a probabilistic formulation allowing for a formal definition of a data-driven reachable set approximation that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Alex Devonport , Murat Arcak

An efficient Path Integral Monte Carlo procedure is proposed to simulate the behavior of quantum many-body dissipative systems described within the framework of the influence functional. Thermodynamic observables are obtained by Monte Carlo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Luca Capriotti , Alessandro Cuccoli , Andrea Fubini , Valerio Tognetti , Ruggero Vaia

Solving decision problems in complex, stochastic environments is often achieved by estimating the expected outcome of decisions via Monte Carlo sampling. However, sampling may overlook rare, but important events, which can severely impact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Lachlan Gibson , Marcus Hoerger , Dirk Kroese

Sampling from multimodal distributions is a challenging task in scientific computing. When a distribution has an exact symmetry between the modes, direct jumps among them can accelerate the samplings significantly. However, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Lexing Ying

A kinetic Monte Carlo method was used to simulate the diffusion of reptating polymer chains across the interface. A time-resolved fluorescence technique conjunction with direct energy transfer method was used to measure the extend of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Erkan Tuzel , K. Batuhan Kisacikoglu , Onder Pekcan

We consider the exact path sampling of the squared Bessel process and some other continuous-time Markov processes, such as the CIR model, constant elasticity of variance diffusion model, and hypergeometric diffusions, which can all be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-28 Roman N. Makarov , Devin Glew

The probability of accepting a candidate move in the hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm can be increased by considering a transition to be between windows of several states at the beginning and end of the trajectory, with a state within the…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-02-03 R. M. Neal

We develop a new Monte Carlo method that solves hyperbolic transport equations with stiff terms, characterized by a (small) scaling parameter. In particular, we focus on systems which lead to a reduced problem of parabolic type in the limit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-01 G. Dimarco , L. Pareschi , G. Samaey

Validating safety-critical autonomous systems in high-dimensional domains such as robotics presents a significant challenge. Existing black-box approaches based on Markov chain Monte Carlo may require an enormous number of samples, while…

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