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We propose simple methods for multivariate diffusion bridge simulation, which plays a fundamental role in simulation-based likelihood and Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations. By a novel application of classical coupling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-02 Mogens Bladt , Samuel Finch , Michael Sørensen

We propose a novel method for simulating conditioned diffusion processes (diffusion bridges) in Euclidean spaces. By training a neural network to approximate bridge dynamics, our approach eliminates the need for computationally intensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Gefan Yang , Frank van der Meulen , Stefan Sommer

Diffusions are a fundamental class of models in many fields, including finance, engineering, and biology. Simulating diffusions is challenging as their sample paths are infinite-dimensional and their transition functions are typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , Michael Sørensen

With a view to statistical inference for discretely observed diffusion models, we propose simple methods of simulating diffusion bridges, approximately and exactly. Diffusion bridge simulation plays a fundamental role in likelihood and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

We propose a method for estimating first passage time densities of one-dimensional diffusions via Monte Carlo simulation. Our approach involves a representation of the first passage time density as expectation of a functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Constantinos Kardaras

Monte Carlo simulation is one of the most important tools in the study of diffusion processes. For constant diffusion coefficients, an appropriate Gaussian distribution of particle's steplengths can generate exact results, when compared…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 V. Ruiz Barlett , M. Hoyuelos , H. O. Mártin

The diffusion bridge, which is a diffusion process conditioned on hitting a specific state within a finite period, has found broad applications in various scientific and engineering fields. However, simulating diffusion bridges for modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Gefan Yang , Elizabeth Louise Baker , Michael L. Severinsen , Christy Anna Hipsley , Stefan Sommer

Monte Carlo simulation is used to study the dynamical crossover from single file diffusion to normal diffusion in fluids confined to narrow channels. We show that the long time diffusion coefficients for a series of systems involving hard…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-17 Surajith N. Wanasundara , Raymond J. Spiteri , Richard K. Bowles

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

We present the method of moments approach to pricing barrier-type options when the underlying is modelled by a general class of jump diffusions. By general principles the option prices are linked to certain infinite dimensional linear…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-25 Bjorn Eriksson , Martijn Pistorius

We introduce an inferential framework for a wide class of semi-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Recent work has shown that numerical splitting schemes can preserve critical properties of such types of SDEs, give rise to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shu Huang , Richard G. Everitt , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Adam M. Johansen

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

A diffusion Monte Carlo algorithm is introduced that can determine the correct nodal structure of the wave function of a few-fermion system and its ground-state energy without an uncontrolled bias. This is achieved by confining signed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-05 Alexander A. Kunitsa , So Hirata

Modality translation is inherently under-constrained, as multiple cross-modal mappings may yield the same marginals. Recent work has shown that diffusion bridges are effective for this task. However, most existing approaches rely on fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Eitan Kosman , Gabriele Serussi , Chaim Baskin

Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes often introduce bias in the final result, due to time discretization. Using an auxiliary Poisson process, it is possible to run simulations which are unbiased. In this article, we propose such…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Louis Paulot

We present a scheme for simulating conditioned semimartingales taking values in Riemannian manifolds. Extending the guided bridge proposal approach used for simulating Euclidean bridges, the scheme replaces the drift of the conditioned…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Mathias Højgaard Jensen , Stefan Sommer

Diffusion in an evolving environment is studied by continuos-time Monte Carlo simulations. Diffusion is modelled by continuos-time random walkers on a lattice, in a dynamic environment provided by bubbles between two one-dimensional…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-11-22 Janne Juntunen , Juha Merikoski
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