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Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems typically relies on posterior sampling approaches, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, for which the generation of each sample requires one or more evaluations of the parameter-to-observable map or…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-23 Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Often the regression function is specified by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) involving some unknown parameters. Typically analytical solution of the ODEs is not available, and hence likelihood evaluation at many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper we study different algorithms for backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE in short) basing on random walk framework for 1-dimensional Brownian motion. Implicit and explicit schemes for both BSDE and reflected BSDE are…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-23 Shige Peng , Mingyu Xu

We consider the problem of estimating the uncertainty in statistical inverse problems using Bayesian inference. When the probability density of the noise and the prior are Gaussian, the solution of such a statistical inverse problem is also…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-20 Peter Benner , Yue Qiu , Martin Stoll

Learning neural ODEs often requires solving very stiff ODE systems, primarily using explicit adaptive step size ODE solvers. These solvers are computationally expensive, requiring the use of tiny step sizes for numerical stability and…

We obtain rates of contraction of posterior distributions in inverse problems defined by scales of smoothness classes. We derive abstract results for general priors, with contraction rates determined by Galerkin approximation. The rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

Most computational approaches to Bayesian experimental design require making posterior calculations repeatedly for a large number of potential designs and/or simulated datasets. This can be expensive and prohibit scaling up these methods to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-18 Dennis Prangle , Sophie Harbisher , Colin S Gillespie

In many statistical linear inverse problems, one needs to recover classes of similar curves from their noisy images under an operator that does not have a bounded inverse. Problems of this kind appear in many areas of application.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Rasika Rajapakshage , Marianna Pensky

Bayes factor sensitivity analysis examines how the evidence for one hypothesis over another depends on the prior distribution. In complex models, the standard approach refits the model at each hyper-parameter value, and the total…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 František Bartoš , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers , Maarten Marsman , Don van den Bergh

We study the inverse problem of recovering the order and the diffusion coefficient of an elliptic fractional partial differential equation from a finite number of noisy observations of the solution. We work in a Bayesian framework and show…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

The is no other model or hypothesis verification tool in Bayesian statistics that is as widely used as the Bayes factor. We focus on generative models that are likelihood-free and, therefore, render the computation of Bayes factors…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is typically used when the likelihood is either unavailable or intractable but where data can be simulated under different parameter settings using a forward model. Despite the recent interest in ABC,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Taylor Pospisil

We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Edgar C. Merkle , Oludare Ariyo , Sonja D. Winter , Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal

In (exploratory) factor analysis, the loading matrix is identified only up to orthogonal rotation. For identifiability, one thus often takes the loading matrix to be lower triangular with positive diagonal entries. In Bayesian inference, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 Dennis Leung , Mathias Drton

Bayesian optimization is an effective methodology for the global optimization of functions with expensive evaluations. It relies on querying a distribution over functions defined by a relatively cheap surrogate model. An accurate model for…

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

The choice of the prior distribution is a key aspect of Bayesian analysis. For the spatial regression setting a subjective prior choice for the parameters may not be trivial, from this perspective, using the objective Bayesian analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jose A. Ordoñez , Marcos O. Prates , Larissa A. Matos , Victor H. Lachos

We present a computational framework for estimating the uncertainty in the numerical solution of linearized infinite-dimensional statistical inverse problems. We adopt the Bayesian inference formulation: given observational data and their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Tan Bui-Thanh , Omar Ghattas , James Martin , Georg Stadler

This work deals with the numerical approximation of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). We propose a new algorithm which is based on the regression-later approach and the least squares Monte Carlo method. We give some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Kossi Gnameho , Mitja Stadje , Antoon Pelsser
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