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Understanding processes that determine the global circulation of the atmosphere is necessary for long-term weather forecasting and climate studies which are critical for ensuring energy security. Processes in the atmosphere depend on many…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-22 Alexander V. Kochin

We study time evolution of the relationship between sunspot numbers and global temperatures between 1880 and 2016 using wavelet coherence framework. The results suggest that the relationship is stable in time. Changes in the sunspot numbers…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek

The variation with time from 1956-2002 of the globally averaged rate of ionization produced by cosmic rays in the atmosphere is deduced and shown to have a cyclic component of period roughly twice the 11 year solar cycle period. Long term…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. D. Erlykin , T. Sloan , A. W. Wolfendale

Stips, Macias, Coughlan, Garcia-Gorriz, and Liang (2016, Nature Scientific Reports) use information flows (Liang, 2008, 2014) to establish causality from various forcings to global temperature. We show that the formulas being used hinges on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-22 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Maximilian Göbel

The climate system's nonlinear dynamics is influenced by various external forcings and internal feedbacks that can give rise to regional and even global tipping points that may lead to significant and potentially irreversible changes.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Erik Chavez , Jan Rombouts , Michael Ghil

The mean surface temperature on Earth and other planets with atmospheres is determined by the radiative balance between the non-reflected incoming solar radiation and the outgoing long-wave black-body radiation from the atmosphere. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

The general circulation of the atmosphere determines the long-term variability of weather processes. This circulation is driven by the temperature differences between the poles and the equator, causing air to move along the Earth's surface.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-21 Alexander V. Kochin

According to conventional wisdom, a system placed in an environment with a different temperature tends to relax to the temperature of the latter, mediated by the flows of heat and/or matter that are set solely by the temperature difference.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-18 Miguel Ibáñez , Cai Dieball , Antonio Lasanta , Aljaž Godec , Raúl A. Rica

The thermodynamic approach shows that the total energy produced by humanity disrupts the thermal balance of the planet and causes counteraction, that is, climate change, which can slow down the progress of civilization. This outcome not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-08 Vladimir Kh. Dobruskin

Along with the accumulation of atmospheric carbon dioxide, the loss of primary forests and other natural ecosystems is a major disruption of the Earth system causing global concern. Quantifying planetary warming from carbon emissions,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-28 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov , Anja Rammig , Antonio Donato Nobre

We analyze global surface temperature data obtained at 13472 weather stations from the year 1702 to 1990. The mean annual temperature of a station fluctuates from year to year by typically +-0.6oC (one standard deviation). Superimposed on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. X. Alban , B. Hoeneisen

Climate change is a massive multidimensional shift. Temperature shifts, in particular, have important implications for urbanization, agriculture, health, productivity, and poverty, among other things. While much research has documented…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-07 Francis X. Diebold , Glenn D. Rudebusch

Despite much scientific evidence, a large fraction of the American public doubts that greenhouse gases are causing global warming. We present a simulation model as a computational test-bed for climate prediction markets. Traders adapt their…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-07-13 John J. Nay , Martin Van der Linden , Jonathan M. Gilligan

The atmospheric greenhouse effect, an idea that many authors trace back to the traditional works of Fourier (1824), Tyndall (1861), and Arrhenius (1896), and which is still supported in global climatology, essentially describes a fictitious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-03-05 Gerhard Gerlich , Ralf D. Tscheuschner

We discuss how greenhouse gases affect radiation transfer in Earth's atmosphere. We explain how greenhouse gases like water vapor or carbon dioxide, differ from non-greenhouse gases like nitrogen or oxygen. Using simple thermodynamics and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-03 W. A. van Wijngaarden , W. Happer

Why do atmospheric carbon dioxide levels rise and fall seasonally measured on Mauna Loa? This study explores the thermal acid-calcification (TAC) hypothesis, suggesting that seasonal temperature shifts in surface seawater trigger acid…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-13 Ivan R. Kennedy , John Runcie , Angus N. Crossan , Ray Ritchie , Jennifer Marohasy

This chapter is dedicated to the slow dynamics of the climate system, at time scales of one~thousand to one million years. We focus specifically on the phenomenon of ice ages that has characterised the slow evolution of climate over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-14 Michel Crucifix , Guillaume Lenoir , Takahito Mitsui

The Early Anthropogenic Hypothesis considers that greenhouse gas concentrations should have declined during the Holocene in absence of humankind activity, leading to glacial inception around the present. It partly relies on the fact that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-12-15 Michel Crucifix

Determining whether Global Average Temperature (GAT) is an integrated process of order 1, I(1), or is a stationary process around a trend function is crucial for detection, attribution, impact and forecasting studies of climate change. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-12 Maria Dolores Gadea , Jesus Gonzalo , Andrey Ramos

Carbon dioxide is one of the major contributors to the radiative forcing, increasing both the temperature and the humidity of Earth's atmosphere. If the stellar irradiance increases and water becomes abundant in the stratosphere of an…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-11 Illeana Gomez-Leal , Lisa Kaltenegger , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit
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