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A fundamental problem in statistical neuroscience is to model how neurons encode information by analyzing electrophysiological recordings. A popular and widely-used approach is to fit the spike trains with an autoregressive point process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Climate projections suffer from uncertain equilibrium climate sensitivity. The reason behind this uncertainty is the resolution of global climate models, which is too coarse to resolve key processes such as clouds and convection. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Soukayna Mouatadid , Pierre Gentine , Wei Yu , Steve Easterbrook

One of the most common misconceptions made about the Kalman filter when applied to linear systems is that it requires an assumption that all error and noise processes are Gaussian. This misconception has frequently led to the Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Jeffrey Uhlmann , Simon Julier

The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 Guido Cavraro , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Joshua Comden , Andrey Bernstein

Accurately estimating parameters in complex nonlinear systems is crucial across scientific and engineering fields. We present a novel approach for parameter estimation using a neural network with the Huber loss function. This method taps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Kaushal Kumar

This paper investigates the fundamental information-theoretic limits for the control and sensing of noiseless linear dynamical systems subject to a broad class of nonlinear observations. We analyze the interactions between the control and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Ming Li , Fan Liu , Yifeng Xiong , Jie Xu , Tao Liu

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

We investigate the robustness of nonlinear filtering for continuous time finite state Markov chains, observed in white noise, with respect to misspecification of the model parameters. It is shown that the distance between the optimal filter…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Ramon van Handel

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

In this tutorial we consider the non-linear Bayesian filtering of static parameters in a time-dependent model. We outline the theoretical background and discuss appropriate solvers. We focus on particle-based filters and present Sequential…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 Matthieu Bulté , Jonas Latz , Elisabeth Ullmann

Bayesian filtering is a general framework for recursively estimating the state of a dynamical system. Classical solutions such that Kalman filter and Particle filter are introduced in this report. Gaussian processes have been introduced as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-04 Mr. Chong Han , Dr. Ido Nevat , Dr. Gareth Peters , Prof. Jinhong Yuan

This paper investigates the state estimation problem for a class of complex networks, in which the dynamics of each node is subject to Gaussian noise, system uncertainties and nonlinearities. Based on a regularized least-squares approach,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Peihu Duan , Qishao Wang , Zhisheng Duan , Guanrong Chen

We consider the problem of pointwise estimation of multi-dimensional signals $s$, from noisy observations $(y_\tau)$ on the regular grid $\bZd$. Our focus is on the adaptive estimation in the case when the signal can be well recovered using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-05 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadii S. Nemirovski

In this paper, we propose a new asymptotic expansion approach for nonlinear filtering based on a small parameter in the system noise. This method expresses the filtering distribution as a power series in the noise level, where the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Masahiro Kurisaki

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

Bayesian filtering is a well-known problem that aims to estimate plausible states of a dynamical system from observations. Among existing approaches to solve this problem, particle filters are theoretically exact for non-linear dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Thomas Savary , François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

We consider state and parameter estimation for a dynamical system having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. It has been shown that the robustness of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating time-invariant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Philippe Bisaillon , Brandon Robinson , Mohammad Khalil , Chris L. Pettit , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Linear regression is arguably the most prominent among statistical inference methods, popular both for its simplicity as well as its broad applicability. On par with data-intensive applications, the sheer size of linear regression problems…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-29 Dimitris Berberidis , Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

In this paper, we propose a filtering algorithm for simultaneously estimating the mode, input and state of hidden mode switched linear stochastic systems with unknown inputs. Using a multiple-model approach with a bank of linear input and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli