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Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West

We propose a new prediction method for multivariate linear regression problems where the number of features is less than the sample size but the number of outcomes is extremely large. Many popular procedures, such as penalized regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Yihe Wang , Sihai Dave Zhao

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

We revisit the Bayesian online inference problems for the linear dynamic systems (LDS) under non- Gaussian environment. The noises can naturally be non-Gaussian (skewed and/or heavy tailed) or to accommodate spurious observations, noises…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-23 Saikat Saha

An old problem in multivariate statistics is that linear Gaussian models are often unidentifiable, i.e. some parameters cannot be uniquely estimated. In factor (component) analysis, an orthogonal rotation of the factors is unidentifiable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-04 Aapo Hyvärinen , Ilyes Khemakhem , Ricardo Monti

In this paper we will develop linear and nonlinear filtering methods for a large class of nonlinear wave equations that arise in applications such as quantum dynamics and laser generation and propagation in a unified framework. We consider…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Sivaguru S. Sritharan , Saba Mudaliar

The wide application of estimation techniques in system analysis enable us to best determine and understand the history of system states. This paper attempts to delineate the theory behind linear and non-linear estimation with a suitable…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-21 Raja Manish

The objective in stochastic filtering is to reconstruct information about an unobserved (random) process, called the signal process, given the current available observations of a certain noisy transformation of that process. Usually X and Y…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 B. P. W. Fernando , E. Hausenblas

This paper presents a novel data-driven, direct filtering approach for unknown linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown-but-bounded measurement noise. The proposed technique combines independent multistep prediction models,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Marco Lauricella , Lorenzo Fagiano

We develop a family of reformulations of an arbitrary consistent linear system into a stochastic problem. The reformulations are governed by two user-defined parameters: a positive definite matrix defining a norm, and an arbitrary discrete…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Peter Richtárik , Martin Takáč

Inference for streaming time-series is tightly coupled with the problem of Bayesian on-line state and parameter inference. In this paper we will introduce Dynamic Generalised Linear Models, the class of models often chosen to model…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-01 Rui Vieira , Darren J. Wilkinson

We study stochastic team problems with static information structure where we assume controllers have linear information and quadratic cost but allow the noise to be from a non-Gaussian class. When the noise is Gaussian, it is well known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Ankur A. Kulkarni

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

Loewner rational interpolation provides a versatile tool to learn low-dimensional dynamical-system models from frequency-response measurements. This work investigates the robustness of the Loewner approach to noise. The key finding is that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Zlatko Drmač , Benjamin Peherstorfer

The paper studies identification of linear systems with multiplicative noise from multiple-trajectory data. An algorithm based on the least-squares method and multiple-trajectory data is proposed for joint estimation of the nominal system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-07 Yu Xing , Benjamin Gravell , Xingkang He , Karl Henrik Johansson , Tyler Summers

This work investigates a three-dimensional slow-fast stochastic system with quadratic nonlinearity and additive noise, inspired by fluid dynamics. The deterministic counterpart exhibits a periodic orbit and a slow manifold. We demonstrate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Christian J. Pangerl , Martin Rasmussen

We propose to address the common problem of linear estimation in linear statistical models by using a model selection approach via penalization. Depending then on the framework in which the linear statistical model is considered namely the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Ikhlef Bechar

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

Non linear regression models are a standard tool for modeling real phenomena, with several applications in machine learning, ecology, econometry... Estimating the parameters of the model has garnered a lot of attention during many years. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Peggy Cénac , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Bruno Portier
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