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This work is a numerical experiment of stochastic motion of conservative Hamiltonian system or weakly damped Brownian particles. The objective is to prove the existence of path probability and to compute its values. By observing a large…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-02-09 Lin Tongling , Pujos Cyril , Ou Congjie , Bi Wenping , Calvayrac Florent , Wang Qiuping A

We present a tractable non-independent increment process which provides a high modeling flexibility. The process lies on an extension of the so-called Harris chains to continuous time being stationary and Feller. We exhibit constructions,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-19 Michelle Anzarut , Ramses H. Mena

This paper develops a two-stage stochastic model to investigate evolution of random fields on the unit sphere $\bS^2$ in $\R^3$. The model is defined by a time-fractional stochastic diffusion equation on $\bS^2$ governed by a diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-05 T. Alodat , Q. T. Le Gia , I. H. Sloan

Diffusion processes driven by Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) have often been considered in modeling stock price dynamics in order to capture the long range dependence of stock price observed in reality. Option prices for such models had…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Ananya Lahiri , Rituparna Sen

Efficiency of search for randomly distributed targets is a prominent problem in many branches of the sciences. For the stochastic process of L\'evy walks, a specific range of optimal efficiencies was suggested under variation of search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-11 S. Mohsen J. Khadem , Sabine H. L. Klapp , Rainer Klages

This work presents a hierarchical model for solute transport in bounded layered porous media with random permeability. The model generalizes the Taylor-Aris dispersion theory to stochastic transport in random layered porous media with a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-07-27 Zhijie Xu , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

In this paper we study upper bounds for the density of solution of stochastic differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H > 1/3. We show that under some geometric conditions, in the regular case H >…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-21 Fabrice Baudoin , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

Modeling turbulent flows by a random Fourier decomposition is a classical procedure in order to use simplified models of turbulence in heat transport and other applications. We carefully investigate the Fourier time series of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-05-14 Paolo Cifani , Franco Flandoli , Andrea Zanoni

In this paper, we introduce and study one-dimensional models for the behavior of pedestrians in a narrow street or corridor. We begin at the microscopic level by formulating a stochastic cellular automata model with explicit rules for…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-27 Alina Chertock , Alexander Kurganov , Anthony Polizzi , Ilya Timofeyev

We present a discrete stochastic model which represents many of the salient features of the biological process of wound healing. The model describes fronts of cells invading a wound. We have numerical results in one and two dimensions. In…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Thomas Callaghan , Evgeniy Khain , Leonard M. Sander , Robert M. Ziff

Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Lei-Han Tang , Guang-Shan Tian

Turing patterns can be observed in reaction-diffusion systems where chemical species have different diffusion constants. In recent years, several studies investigated the effects of noise on Turing patterns and showed that the parameter…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-10-30 Yang Cao , Radek Erban

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

We consider diffusion-controlled release of particles from $d$-dimensional radially-symmetric geometries. A quantity commonly used to characterise such diffusive processes is the proportion of particles remaining within the geometry over…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-09-20 Luke P. Filippini , Matthew J. Simpson , Elliot J. Carr

We investigated the quality of forecasting of fractional Brownian motion, and new method for estimating of Hurst exponent is validated. Stochastic model of the time series in the form of converted fractional Brownian motion is proposed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Valeria Bondarenko , Victor Bondarenko , Kiryl Truskovsky , Ina Taralova

How far is neuroepithelial cell proliferation in the developing central nervous system a deterministic process? Or, to put it in a more precise way, how accurately can it be described by a deterministic mathematical model? To provide tracks…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-05-04 Jean Clairambault , Vladimir Flores , Benoit Perthame , Melina Rapacioli , Edmundo Rofman , Rafael Verdes

Strongly consistent and asymptotic normal estimators of the Hurst index of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying process.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 K. Kubilius , V. Skorniakov , D. Melichov
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