Related papers: Varadhan's formula, conditioned diffusions, and lo…
Consistently fitting vanilla option surfaces is an important issue when it comes to modelling in finance. Local volatility models introduced by Dupire in 1994 are widely used to price and manage the risks of structured products. However,…
We consider the empirical process G_t of a one-dimensional diffusion with finite speed measure, indexed by a collection of functions F. By the central limit theorem for diffusions, the finite-dimensional distributions of G_t converge weakly…
The problem of estimating the L\'evy density of a partially observed multidimensional affine process from low-frequency and mixed-frequency data is considered. The estimation methodology is based on the log-affine representation of the…
We show a probabilistic functional limit result for one-dimensional diffusion processes that are reflected at an elastic boundary which is a function of the reflection local time. Such processes are constructed as limits of a sequence of…
We consider stochastic control systems affected by a fast mean reverting volatility $Y(t)$ driven by a pure jump L\'evy process. Motivated by a large literature on financial models, we assume that $Y(t)$ evolves at a faster time scale…
We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…
Predicting the conditional evolution of Volterra processes with stochastic volatility is a crucial challenge in mathematical finance. While deep neural network models offer promise in approximating the conditional law of such processes,…
We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…
In this paper, we study the precise late-time asymptotic behaviour of small data solutions for the Vlasov-Poisson system in dimension three. First, we show that the spatial density and the force field satisfy asymptotic self-similar…
In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…
For most stochastic dynamical systems, variables which are tightly regulated tend to respond slowly to external changes. This idea is often discussed for applicable systems, within a linear response regime, through the Fluctuation…
This paper addresses the approximation of the local volatility function in the Cheyette interest rate model. Its main contribution is an explicit analytical formula for approximating local volatility, derived by extending the classical…
We consider the short time behaviour of stochastic systems affected by a stochastic volatility evolving at a faster time scale. We study the asymptotics of a logarithmic functional of the process by methods of the theory of homogenisation…
The studies of Ram\'irez, Hino-Ram\'irez, and Ariyoshi-Hino showed that an integrated version of Varadhan's asymptotics holds for Markovian semigroups associated with arbitrary strong local symmetric Dirichlet forms. In this paper, we…
We study a system of $n$ differential equations, each in dimension $d$. Only the first equation is forced by a Brownian motion and the dependence structure is such that, under a local weak H\"ormander condition, the noise propagates to the…
We consider a stochastic volatility model where the moment generating function of the logarithmic price is finite only on part of the real line. Using a new Tauberian result obtained in [1] and [2], we show that the knowledge of the moment…
We present here a new stochastic modelling in the constitution of fluid flow reduced-order models. This framework introduces a spatially inhomogeneous random field to represent the unresolved small-scale velocity component. Such a…
We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…
We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…
This paper investigates how the conditional quantiles of future returns and volatility of financial assets vary with various measures of ex-post variation in asset prices as well as option-implied volatility. We work in the flexible…