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We introduce a new functional representation of probability density functions (PDFs) of non-negative random variables via a product of a monomial factor and linear combinations of decaying exponentials with complex exponents. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Gregory Beylkin , Lucas Monzon , Ignas Satkauskas

We introduce a new class of distributions named log-adjusted shrinkage priors for the analysis of sparse signals, which extends the three parameter beta priors by multiplying an additional log-term to their densities. The proposed prior has…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

We consider the rate-distortion function for lossy source compression, as well as the channel capacity for error correction, through the lens of distributional robustness. We assume that the distribution of the source or of the additive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Vikrant Malik , Taylan Kargin , Victoria Kostina , Babak Hassibi

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

This paper proposes a novel approach to the statistical characterization of non-central complex Gaussian quadratic forms (CGQFs). Its key strategy is the generation of an auxiliary random variable (RV) that converges in distribution to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-18 Pablo Ramírez-Espinosa , Laureano Moreno-Pozas , José F. Paris , José A. Cortés , Eduardo Martos-Naya

Bayesian network models with latent variables are widely used in statistics and machine learning. In this paper we provide a complete algebraic characterization of Bayesian network models with latent variables when the observed variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

Regularization is a common tool in variational inverse problems to impose assumptions on the parameters of the problem. One such assumption is sparsity, which is commonly promoted using lasso and total variation-like regularization.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

The estimation of the ratio of two density probability functions is of great interest in many statistics fields, including causal inference. In this study, we develop an ensemble estimator of density ratios with a novel loss function based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-12 Wencheng Wu , David Benkeser

We study multiple defaults where the global market information is modelled as progressive enlargement of filtrations. We shall provide a general pricing formula by establishing a relationship between the enlarged filtration and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-17 Ying Jiao

We study the complexity of sampling from the stationary distribution of a mean-field SDE, or equivalently, the complexity of minimizing a functional over the space of probability measures which includes an interaction term. Our main insight…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Yunbum Kook , Matthew S. Zhang , Sinho Chewi , Murat A. Erdogdu , Mufan Bill Li

Discrete state spaces represent a major computational challenge to statistical inference, since the computation of normalisation constants requires summation over large or possibly infinite sets, which can be impractical. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

We develop a theoretical approach to compute the conditioned spectral density of $N \times N$ non-invariant random matrices in the limit $N \rightarrow \infty$. This large deviation observable, defined as the eigenvalue distribution…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-08-15 Isaac Pérez Castillo , Fernando L. Metz

A family of random probabilities is defined and studied. This family contains the Dirichlet process as a special case, corresponding to an inner point in the appropriate parameter space. The extension makes it possible to have random means…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Nils Lid Hjort

This article presents a unified theory for analysis of components in discrete data, and compares the methods with techniques such as independent component analysis, non-negative matrix factorisation and latent Dirichlet allocation. The main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wray Buntine , Aleks Jakulin

Bayesian inference with empirical likelihood faces a challenge as the posterior domain is a proper subset of the original parameter space due to the convex hull constraint. We propose a regularized exponentially tilted empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Eunseop Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

A new probability distribution to study lifetime data in reliability is introduced in this paper. This one is a first approach to a non-homogeneous phase-type distribution. It is built by considering one cut-point in the non-negative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Christian Acal , Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro , David Maldonado , Juan B. Roldán

The method of potential solutions of Fokker-Planck equations is used to develop a transport equation for the joint probability of N stochastic variables with Lochner's generalized Dirichlet distribution (R.H. Lochner, A Generalized…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-10-02 J. Bakosi , J. R. Ristorcelli

This paper introduces a new approach to the study of rates of convergence for posterior distributions. It is a natural extension of a recent approach to the study of Bayesian consistency. In particular, we improve on current rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Stephen G. Walker , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complicated stochastic models for which the likelihood function is difficult or even impossible to calculate, and hence conventional likelihood-based inferential echniques cannot be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-05-29 Simon R. White , Theodore Kypraios , Simon P. Preston