Related papers: A Generalized Savage-Dickey Ratio

We study dentable maps from a closed convex subset of a Banach space into a metric space as an attempt of generalize the Radon-Nikod\'ym property to a "less linear" frame. We note that a certain part of the theory can be developed in rather…

We introduce a new method for analyzing midpoint discretizations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are frequently used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling from a target measure $\pi \propto \exp(-V)$.…

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

We study frequentist risk properties of predictive density estimators for mean mixtures of multivariate normal distributions, involving an unknown location parameter $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$, and which include multivariate skew normal…

The random coefficients model $Y_i={\beta_0}_i+{\beta_1}_i {X_1}_i+{\beta_2}_i {X_2}_i+\ldots+{\beta_d}_i {X_d}_i$, with $\mathbf{X}_i$, $Y_i$, $\mathbf{\beta}_i$ i.i.d, and $\mathbf{\beta}_i$ independent of $X_i$ is often used to capture…

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

We consider a generalization of the classifier-based density-ratio estimation task to a quasiprobabilistic setting where probability densities can be negative. The problem with most loss functions used for this task is that they implicitly…

A Bayesian nonparametric approach to the study of species diversity based on choosing a random discrete distribution as a prior model for the unknown relative abundances of species has been recently introduced in Lijoi et al. (2007, 2008).…

One of the main concepts in quantum physics is a density matrix, which is a symmetric positive definite matrix of trace one. Finite probability distributions are a special case where the density matrix is restricted to be diagonal. Density…

This study clarifies the relationship between Riesz regression [Chernozhukov et al., 2021] and density ratio estimation (DRE) in causal inference problems, such as average treatment effect estimation. We first show that the Riesz…

Perhaps surprisingly, recent studies have shown probabilistic model likelihoods have poor specificity for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection and often assign higher likelihoods to OOD data than in-distribution data. To ameliorate this…

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

The present paper is focused on the problem of recovering the Radon-Nikodym derivative under the big data assumption. To address the above problem, we design an algorithm that is a combination of the Nystr\"om subsampling and the standard…

The paper proves generalization results for a class of stochastic learning algorithms. The method applies whenever the algorithm generates an absolutely continuous distribution relative to some a-priori measure and the Radon Nikodym…

Consider the density dependent (i.e. Nemytskii-type) SDEs on $\mathbb R^d$, where the drift $b_t(x,\rho(x),\rho)$ is locally integrable in $(t,x)\in [0,\infty)\times \mathbb R^d$ and may be singular in the distribution density function…

The standard Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) is derived under regularity conditions which are not always satisfied by the graphical models with hidden variables. In this paper we derive the BIC score for Bayesian networks in the case…

Computation of the marginal likelihood from a simulated posterior distribution is central to Bayesian model selection but is computationally difficult. I argue that the marginal likelihood can be reliably computed from a posterior sample by…

Continuing our earlier work in \cite{nss20a}, we study the random regular k-NAE-SAT model in the condensation regime. In \cite{nss20a}, the 1RSB properties of the model were established with positive probability. In this paper, we improve…

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

In the present paper new insights into the study of the Non-central Dirichlet distribution are provided. This latter is the analogue of the Dirichlet distribution obtained by replacing the Chi-Squared random variables involved in its…