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Proof scores can be regarded as outlines of the formal verification of system properties. They have been historically used by the OBJ family of specification languages. The main advantage of proof scores is that they follow the same syntax…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Adrian Riesco , Kazuhiro Ogata , Masaki Nakamura , Daniel Gaina , Duong Dinh Tran , Kokichi Futatsugi

The method of generalized estimating equations (GEE) is popular in the biostatistics literature for analyzing longitudinal binary and count data. It assumes a generalized linear model (GLM) for the outcome variable, and a working…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-03 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

This paper considers fair probabilistic binary classification where the outputs of primary interest are predicted probabilities, commonly referred to as scores. We formulate the problem of transforming scores to satisfy fairness constraints…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Dennis Wei , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Flavio du Pin Calmon

Typically, point forecasting methods are compared and assessed by means of an error measure or scoring function, such as the absolute error or the squared error. The individual scores are then averaged over forecast cases, to result in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Tilmann Gneiting

Scoring rules aggregate individual rankings by assigning some points to each position in each ranking such that the total sum of points provides the overall ranking of the alternatives. They are widely used in sports competitions consisting…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-03-28 László Csató

The pairwise winning indices, computed in the Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis, give the probability with which an alternative is preferred to another taking into account all the instances of the assumed preference model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Sally Giuseppe Arcidiacono , Salvatore Corrente , Salvatore Greco

This study proposed an exhaustive stable/reproducible rule-mining algorithm combined to a classifier to generate both accurate and interpretable models. Our method first extracts rules (i.e., a conjunction of conditions about the values of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Margaux Luck , Nicolas Pallet , Cecilia Damon

This paper studies the design of optimal proper scoring rules when the principal has partial knowledge of an agent's signal distribution. Recent work characterizes the proper scoring rules that maximize the increase of an agent's payoff…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Yiling Chen , Fang-Yi Yu

Tuning the regularization parameter in penalized regression models is an expensive task, requiring multiple models to be fit along a path of parameters. Strong screening rules drastically reduce computational costs by lowering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Fabio Feser , Marina Evangelou

Genetic investigations often involve the testing of vast numbers of related hypotheses simultaneously. To control the overall error rate, a substantial penalty is required, making it difficult to detect signals of moderate strength. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-25 Kathryn Roeder , Larry Wasserman

We study strictly proper scoring rules in the Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. We propose a general Kernel Scoring rule and associated Kernel Divergence. We consider conditions under which the Kernel Score is strictly proper. We then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-25 Hamed Masnadi-Shirazi

We propose a mechanism design framework that incorporates both soft information, which can be freely manipulated, and semi-hard information, which entails a cost for falsification. The framework captures various contexts such as school…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-14 Eduardo Perez-Richet , Vasiliki Skreta

We consider one of the most basic multiple testing problems that compares expectations of multivariate data among several groups. As a test statistic, a conventional (approximate) $t$-statistic is considered, and we determine its rejection…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Satoshi Kuriki , Toshihiko Shiroishi , Toyoyuki Takada

Propensity score weighting is a tool for causal inference to adjust for measured confounders. Survey data are often collected under complex sampling designs such as multistage cluster sampling, which presents challenges for propensity score…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-27 Shu Yang

Probabilistic forecasting relies on past observations to provide a probability distribution for a future outcome, which is often evaluated against the realization using a scoring rule. Here, we perform probabilistic forecasting with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-06 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Ritabrata Dutta

Stochastic optimization algorithms have been successfully applied in several domains to find optimal solutions. Because of the ever-growing complexity of the integrated systems, novel stochastic algorithms are being proposed, which makes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Sowmya Chandrasekaran , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

Objective prior distributions represent an important tool that allows one to have the advantages of using the Bayesian framework even when information about the parameters of a model is not available. The usual objective approaches work off…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Fabrizio Leisen , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker

Score matching is a popular method for estimating unnormalized statistical models. However, it has been so far limited to simple, shallow models or low-dimensional data, due to the difficulty of computing the Hessian of log-density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Yang Song , Sahaj Garg , Jiaxin Shi , Stefano Ermon

We provide methods to validate and compare sensor outputs, or inference algorithms applied to sensor data, by adapting statistical scoring rules. The reported output should either be in the form of a prediction interval or of a parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-07 A. D. Martin , T. C. A. Molteno , M. Parry

Staged trees are a recently-developed, powerful family of probabilistic graphical models. An equivalence class of staged trees has now been characterised, and two fundamental statistical operators have been defined to traverse the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Conor Hughes , Peter Strong , Aditi Shenvi