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We propose a kernel mixture of polynomials prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The regression function is modeled by local averages of polynomials with kernel mixture weights. We obtain the minimax-optimal rate of contraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

We apply a linear Bayesian model to seismic tomography, a high-dimensional inverse problem in geophysics. The objective is to estimate the three-dimensional structure of the earth's interior from data measured at its surface. Since this…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-11 Ran Zhang , Claudia Czado , Karin Sigloch

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

In this paper we develop a functorial language of probabilistic morphisms and apply it to some basic problems in Bayesian nonparametrics. First we extend and unify the Kleisli category of probabilistic morphisms proposed by Lawvere and Giry…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Jürgen Jost , Hông Vân Lê , Tat Dat Tran

Manifold-learning techniques are routinely used in mining complex spatiotemporal data to extract useful, parsimonious data representations/parametrizations; these are, in turn, useful in nonlinear model identification tasks. We focus here…

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

We study the Bayesian density estimation of data living in the offset of an unknown submanifold of the Euclidean space. In this perspective, we introduce a new notion of anisotropic H\"older for the underlying density and obtain posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Clément Berenfeld , Paul Rosa , Judith Rousseau

Most machine learning algorithms, such as classification or regression, treat the individual data point as the object of interest. Here we consider extending machine learning algorithms to operate on groups of data points. We suggest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Danica J. Sutherland , Liang Xiong , Barnabás Póczos , Jeff Schneider

In this paper we leverage on probability over Riemannian manifolds to rethink the interpretation of priors and posteriors in Bayesian inference. The main mindshift is to move away from the idea that "a prior distribution establishes a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Jesus Cerquides

Kernel methods are ubiquitous tools in machine learning. However, there is often little reason for the common practice of selecting a kernel a priori. Even if a universal approximating kernel is selected, the quality of the finite sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-31 Junier Oliva , Avinava Dubey , Andrew G. Wilson , Barnabas Poczos , Jeff Schneider , Eric P. Xing

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou

State-of-the-art image-set matching techniques typically implicitly model each image-set with a Gaussian distribution. Here, we propose to go beyond these representations and model image-sets as probability distribution functions (PDFs)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Mehrtash Harandi , Mathieu Salzmann , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh

In this paper, we propose a non-monotone line search method for solving optimization problems on Stiefel manifold. Our method uses as a search direction a mixed gradient based on a descent direction, and a Barzilai-Borwein line search.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Harry Oviedo , Hugo Lara , Oscar Dalmau

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

Nonparametric methods have been very popular in the last couple of decades in time series and regression, but no such development has taken place for spatial models. A rather obvious reason for this is the curse of dimensionality. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jiti Gao , Zudi Lu , Dag Tjøstheim

The analysis of data sets arising from multiple sensors has drawn significant research attention over the years. Traditional methods, including kernel-based methods, are typically incapable of capturing nonlinear geometric structures. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-04 Ronen Talmon , Hau-tieng Wu

Estimation of a conditional mean (linking a set of features to an outcome of interest) is a fundamental statistical task. While there is an appeal to flexible nonparametric procedures, effective estimation in many classical nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-08 Tianyu Zhang , Noah Simon

Variational mean field approximations tend to struggle with contemporary overparametrized deep neural networks. Where a Bayesian treatment is usually associated with high-quality predictions and uncertainties, the practical reality has been…