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Modern decision-making in fixed income asset management benefits from intelligent systems, which involve the use of state-of-the-art machine learning models and appropriate methodologies. We conduct the first study of bond yield forecasting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-06 Manuel Nunes , Enrico Gerding , Frank McGroarty , Mahesan Niranjan

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Hidden Markov models are widely used for modeling sequential data but typically have limited applicability in observational causal inference due to their strong conditional independence assumptions. I introduce feedback-augmented…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-21 Jouni Helske

Motivated by earlier works we employ appropriate realizations of the affine Hecke algebra and we recover previously known non-diagonal solutions of the reflection equation for the $U_{q}(\hat{gl_n})$ case. The corresponding $N$ site spin…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Anastasia Doikou

We previously proposed a mechanism to effectively obtain, after a long time development, a Hamiltonian being Hermitian with regard to a modified inner product $I_Q$ that makes a given non-normal Hamiltonian normal by using an appropriately…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-03-24 Keiichi Nagao , Holger Bech Nielsen

The LLM-as-a-judge paradigm is widely used in both evaluating free-text model responses and reward modeling for model alignment and fine-tuning. Recently, fine-tuning judges with judge-specific data has emerged as an often preferred choice…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Janvijay Singh , Austin Xu , Yilun Zhou , Yefan Zhou , Dilek Hakkani-Tur , Shafiq Joty

This paper presents new theory and methodology for the Bayesian estimation of overfitted hidden Markov models, with finite state space. The goal is then to achieve posterior emptying of extra states. A prior configuration is constructed…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-09 Zoé van Havre , Judith Rousseau , Nicole White , Kerrie Mengersen

We solve elliptic systems of equations posed on highly heterogeneous materials. Examples of this class of problems are composite structures and geological processes. We focus on a model problem which is a second-order elliptic equation with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Leonardo A. Poveda , Sebastian Huepo , Victor M. Calo , Juan Galvis

This short survey reviews some aspects of spaces of positive-definite self-adjoint linear transformations on R^n and on C^n, including the standard Riemannian metric and the relation with the exponential mapping acting on self-adjoint…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stephen Semmes

This paper deals with forward performances of HARA type. Precisely, for a market model in which stock price processes are modeled by a locally bounded $d$-dimensional semimartingale, we elaborate a complete and explicit characterization for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-03 Tahir Choulli , Junfeng Ma

A new method of analysing positive bistochastic maps on the algebra of complex matrices $M_{3}$ has been proposed. By identifying the set of such maps with a convex set of linear operators on $\mathbb{R}^{8}$, one can employ techniques from…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-03-30 Marek Miller , Robert Olkiewicz

In this work, we revisit the marking decisions made in the standard adaptive finite element method (AFEM). Experience shows that a na\"{i}ve marking policy leads to inefficient use of computational resources for adaptive mesh refinement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Andrew Gillette , Brendan Keith , Socratis Petrides

In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic model for learning nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) that is commonly used for predicting missing values and finding hidden patterns in the data, in which the matrix factors are latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jun Lu , Xuanyu Ye

Advancements in machine learning for molecular property prediction have improved accuracy but at the expense of higher computational cost and longer training times. Recently, the Joint Multi-domain Pre-training (JMP) foundation model has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Yasir Ghunaim , Andrés Villa , Gergo Ignacz , Gyorgy Szekely , Motasem Alfarra , Bernard Ghanem

Interest rate market models, like the LIBOR market model, have the advantage that the basic model quantities are directly observable in financial markets. Inflation market models extend this approach to inflation markets, where zero-coupon…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-18 Stefan Waldenberger

We are studying long term sequence prediction (forecasting). We approach this by investigating criteria for choosing a compact useful state representation. The state is supposed to summarize useful information from the history. We want a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Peter Sunehag , Marcus Hutter

This paper aims to study in more depth the relation between growth in matrix groups ${{\rm SL_2}}(\mathbf{F})$ and ${{\rm Aff}}(\mathbf{F})$ over a field $\mathbf{F}$ by multiplication and geometric incidence estimates, associated with the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Misha Rudnev , Ilya D. Shkredov

We present a lightweight approach to sequence classification using Ensemble Methods for Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). HMMs offer significant advantages in scenarios with imbalanced or smaller datasets due to their simplicity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Maxime Kawawa-Beaudan , Srijan Sood , Soham Palande , Ganapathy Mani , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

We propose a generalization of the linear panel quantile regression model to accommodate both \textit{sparse} and \textit{dense} parts: sparse means while the number of covariates available is large, potentially only a much smaller number…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-24 Alexandre Belloni , Mingli Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Zixuan , Wang

Positive semidefinite matrix factorization (PSDMF) expresses each entry of a nonnegative matrix as the inner product of two positive semidefinite (psd) matrices. When all these psd matrices are constrained to be diagonal, this model is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-07 Dana Lahat , Yanbin Lang , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Cédric Févotte