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The crisis that affected financial markets in the last years leaded market practitioners to revise well known basic concepts like the ones of discount factors and forward rates. A single yield curve is not sufficient any longer to describe…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-25 Andrea Pallavicini , Marco Tarenghi

The theory of affine processes on the space of positive semidefinite d x d matrices has been established in a joint work with Cuchiero, Filipovi\'c and Teichmann (2011). We confirm the conjecture stated therein that in dimension d greater…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Eberhard Mayerhofer

We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non-negative) measure-valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-19 Christa Cuchiero , Luca Di Persio , Francesco Guida , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

The analytical tractability of affine (short rate) models, such as the Vasicek and the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, has made them a popular choice for modelling the dynamics of interest rates. However, in order to account properly for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Philipp Harms , David Stefanovits , Josef Teichmann , Mario Wüthrich

This paper presents a general framework for estimating high-dimensional conditional latent factor models via constrained nuclear norm regularization. We establish large sample properties of the estimators and provide efficient algorithms…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Qihui Chen

Introduction: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has gained significant attention in recent years. While various specialized designs exist for capturing temporal dependency, recent studies have shown that even a single linear layer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zhe Li , Shiyi Qi , Yiduo Li , Zenglin Xu

The class of affine LIBOR models is appealing since it satisfies three central requirements of interest rate modeling. It is arbitrage-free, interest rates are nonnegative and caplet and swaption prices can be calculated analytically. In…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-04 Stefan Waldenberger , Wolfgang Müller

This paper advances interest rate modeling in the post-LIBOR era by introducing rough stochastic volatility into the Forward Market Model (FMM). We establish a rigorous asymptotic expansion of swaption implied volatility, connecting the FMM…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Reo Adachi , Masaaki Fukasawa , Naoki Iida , Mitsumasa Ikeda , Yo Nakatsu , Ryota Tsurumi , Tomohisa Yamakami

To make medium- and long-term insurance products attractive, it is essential to enable participation in stock market returns. However, to eliminate downside risk, guarantees must be included, which naturally leads to the challenge of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Raquel M. Gaspar , Thorsten Schmidt

We provide a general and flexible approach to LIBOR modeling based on the class of affine factor processes. Our approach respects the basic economic requirement that LIBOR rates are non-negative, and the basic requirement from mathematical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Martin Keller-Ressel , Antonis Papapantoleon , Josef Teichmann

Bounded linear types have proved to be useful for automated resource analysis and control in functional programming languages. In this paper we introduce an affine bounded linear typing discipline on a general notion of resource which can…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2013-07-10 Dan R. Ghica , Alex Smith

We consider a market with a term structure of credit risky bonds in the single-name case. We aim at minimal assumptions extending existing results in this direction: first, the random field of forward rates is driven by a general…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-17 Sandrine Gümbel , Thorsten Schmidt

We develop an arbitrage-free deep learning framework for yield curve and bond price forecasting based on the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) term-structure model and a dynamic Nelson-Siegel parameterization of forward rates. Our approach embeds a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

Alternative risk-free rates (RFRs) play a central role in the reform of interest rate benchmarks. We study a model for RFRs driven by a general affine process. Under minimal assumptions, we derive explicit valuation formulas for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-24 Claudio Fontana

Discrete-time affine processes are widely used in finance and economics and encompass count, positive, and nonnegative-valued processes. This paper develops near-unit-root asymptotic theory for this class of models. Unlike linear AR(1)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Gael Anne , Yang Lu , Xuewen Yu , Xiaowen Zhou

In this article, several aspects of the dynamics of a toy model for longrange Hamiltonian systems are tackled focusing on linearly unstable unmagnetized (i.e. force-free) cold equilibria states of the Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF). For…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-05-20 Wahb Ettoumi , Marie-Christine Firpo

Closed form formulas for swaption prices in HJM model are derived. These formulas are used for nonparametric fit of deterministic forward volatility. It is demonstrated that this formula and non-parametric fit works very well and can be…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-11 V. M. Belyaev

We derive explicit valuation formulae for an exotic path-dependent interest rate derivative, namely an option on the composition of LIBOR rates. The formulae are based on Fourier transform methods for option pricing. We consider two models…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-26 Wolfgang Kluge , Antonis Papapantoleon

We consider discrete time Heath-Jarrow-Morton type interest rate models, where the interest rate curves are driven by a geometric spatial autoregression field. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 József Gáll , Gyula Pap , Martien van Zuijlen

We price European-style options written on forward contracts in a commodity market, which we model with an infinite-dimensional Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach. For this purpose we introduce a new class of state-dependent volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Fred Espen Benth , Nils Detering , Silvia Lavagnini