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Understanding causal relations between temporal variables is a central challenge in time series analysis, particularly when the full causal structure is unknown. Even when the full causal structure cannot be fully specified, experts often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Timothée Loranchet , Charles K. Assaad

Bayesian networks can be used to extract explanations about the observed state of a subset of variables. In this paper, we explicate the desiderata of an explanation and confront them with the concept of explanation proposed by existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ulf Nielsen , Jean-Philippe Pellet , André Elisseeff

We introduce a framework for the modeling of sequential data capturing pathways of varying lengths observed in a network. Such data are important, e.g., when studying click streams in information networks, travel patterns in transportation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Ingo Scholtes

Working with SEM and crosssectional data, and depending on the studied phenomenon, assuming an acyclic model may mean that we obtain only a partial view of the mechanisms that explain causal relationships between a set of theoretical…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-25 Lamberti Giuseppe , Lopez-Sintas Jordi , Pandolfo Giuseppe

Reciprocal arcs represent the lowest order cycle possible to find in directed graphs without self-loops. Representing also a measure of feed-back between vertices, it is interesting to understand how reciprocal arcs influence other…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-23 Vinko Zlatić , Hrvoje Štefančić

Networks (graphs) in psychology are often restricted to settings without interventions. Here we consider a framework borrowed from biology that involves multiple interventions from different contexts (observations and experiments) in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Lourens Waldorp , Jolanda Kossakowski , Han L. J. van der Maas

Citation networks have been widely used to study the evolution of science through the lenses of the underlying patterns of knowledge flows among academic papers, authors, research sub-fields, and scientific journals. Here we focus on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-12 Valerio Ciotti , Moreno Bonaventura , Vincenzo Nicosia , Pietro Panzarasa , Vito Latora

Systems whose organization displays causal asymmetry constraints, from evolutionary trees to river basins or transport networks, can be often described in terms of directed paths (causal flows) on a discrete state space. Such a set of paths…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-07-13 Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Carlos Rodríguez-Caso , Joaquín Goñi , Ricard Solé

The present study explores the intricacies of causal relationship extraction, a vital component in the pursuit of causality knowledge. Causality is frequently intertwined with temporal elements, as the progression from cause to effect is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Xiaosong Yuan , Ke Chen , Wanli Zuo , Yijia Zhang

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

The significance and influence of US Supreme Court majority opinions derive in large part from opinions' roles as precedents for future opinions. A growing body of literature seeks to understand what drives the use of opinions as precedents…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-19 Christian S. Schmid , Ted Hsuan Yun Chen , Bruce A. Desmarais

The study of temporal networks is motivated by the simple and important observation that just as network structure can affect dynamics, so can structure in time. Just as network topology can teach us about the system in question, so can its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-26 Petter Holme , Jari Saramäki

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

Computation models such as circuits describe sequences of computation steps that are carried out one after the other. In other words, algorithm design is traditionally subject to the restriction imposed by a fixed causal order. We address a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-04 Ämin Baumeler , Stefan Wolf

We consider the task of estimating a high-dimensional directed acyclic graph, given observations from a linear structural equation model with arbitrary noise distribution. By exploiting properties of common random graphs, we develop a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-30 Arjun Sondhi , Ali Shojaie

We study the problem of inferring network topology from information cascades, in which the amount of time taken for information to diffuse across an edge in the network follows an unknown distribution. Unlike previous studies, which assume…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Feng Ji , Wenchang Tang , Wee Peng Tay , Edwin K. P. Chong

Dynamical processes, such as the diffusion of knowledge, opinions, pathogens, "fake news", innovation, and others, are highly dependent on the structure of the social network on which they occur. However, questions on why most social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-13 Demival Vasques Filho , Dion R. J. O'Neale

We explore link prediction as a proxy for automatically surfacing documents from existing literature that might be topically or contextually relevant to a new document. Our model uses transformer-based graph embeddings to encode the meaning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-29 William Watson , Lawrence Yong

We consider the incorporation of causal knowledge about the presence or absence of (possibly indirect) causal relations into a causal model. Such causal relations correspond to directed paths in a causal model. This type of knowledge…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos