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We propose an adjusted Wasserstein distributionally robust estimator -- based on a nonlinear transformation of the Wasserstein distributionally robust (WDRO) estimator in statistical learning. The classic WDRO estimator is asymptotically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-13 Yiling Xie , Xiaoming Huo

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile method to estimate rare events probabilities. It is an iterative procedure on an interacting particle system, where at each step, the $k$ less well-adapted…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-07 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Tony Lelievre , Mathias Rousset

The asymptotic behavior of the stochastic gradient algorithm with a biased gradient estimator is analyzed. Relying on arguments based on the dynamic system theory (chain-recurrence) and the differential geometry (Yomdin theorem and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Vladislav B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

Infinite-order U-statistics (IOUS) has been used extensively on subbagging ensemble learning algorithms such as random forests to quantify its uncertainty. While normality results of IOUS have been studied extensively, its variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-16 Tianning Xu , Ruoqing Zhu , Xiaofeng Shao

We consider the problem of estimating how well a model class is capable of fitting a distribution of labeled data. We show that it is often possible to accurately estimate this "learnability" even when given an amount of data that is too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

The Partial Area Under the ROC Curve (PAUC), typically including One-way Partial AUC (OPAUC) and Two-way Partial AUC (TPAUC), measures the average performance of a binary classifier within a specific false positive rate and/or true positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Huiyang Shao , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Shilong Bao , Qingming Huang

We study stochastic gradient descent for solving conditional stochastic optimization problems, in which an objective to be minimized is given by a parametric nested expectation with an outer expectation taken with respect to one random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Takashi Goda , Wataru Kitade

The vast majority of theoretical results in machine learning and statistics assume that the available training data is a reasonably reliable reflection of the phenomena to be learned or estimated. Similarly, the majority of machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-13 Moses Charikar , Jacob Steinhardt , Gregory Valiant

Discrete and especially binary random variables occur in many machine learning models, notably in variational autoencoders with binary latent states and in stochastic binary networks. When learning such models, a key tool is an estimator of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Alexander Shekhovtsov

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

We expand the scope of the statistical notion of error probability, i.e., how often large deviations are observed in an experiment, in order to make it directly applicable to quantum tomography. We verify that the error probability can…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-01-24 Takanori Sugiyama , Peter S. Turner , Mio Murao

An unsupervised learning classification model is described. It achieves classification error probability competitive with that of popular supervised learning classifiers such as SVM or kNN. The model is based on the incremental execution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Daniel N. Nissani

U-Clip is a simple amendment to gradient clipping that can be applied to any iterative gradient optimization algorithm. Like regular clipping, U-Clip involves using gradients that are clipped to a prescribed size (e.g. with component wise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Bryn Elesedy , Marcus Hutter

We develop inference procedures robust to general forms of weak dependence. The procedures utilize test statistics constructed by resampling in a manner that does not depend on the unknown correlation structure of the data. We prove that…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-26 Michael P. Leung

There has been a surge of interest in developing robust estimators for models with heavy-tailed and bounded variance data in statistics and machine learning, while few works impose unbounded variance. This paper proposes two type of robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Lihu Xu , Fang Yao , Qiuran Yao , Huiming Zhang

Identifying and disentangling sources of predictive uncertainty is essential for trustworthy supervised learning. We argue that widely used second-order methods that disentangle aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty are fundamentally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Sebastián Jiménez , Mira Jürgens , Willem Waegeman

Stochastic estimators are fundamental to large-scale optimization, where population quantities must be inferred from noisy oracle observations. Although influential methods such as momentum, SPIDER, STORM, and PAGE have been highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Zhankun Luo , Antesh Upadhyay , M. Berk Sahin , Sang Bin Moon , Anuran Makur , Abolfazl Hashemi

We want to reconstruct a signal based on inhomogeneous data (the amount of data can vary strongly), using the model of regression with a random design. Our aim is to understand the consequences of inhomogeneity on the accuracy of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

Positive-Unlabeled (PU) learning aims to learn a model with rare positive samples and abundant unlabeled samples. Compared with classical binary classification, the task of PU learning is much more challenging due to the existence of many…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Chengming Xu , Chen Liu , Siqian Yang , Yabiao Wang , Shijie Zhang , Lijie Jia , Yanwei Fu

We study a sparse negative binomial regression (NBR) for count data by showing the non-asymptotic advantages of using the elastic-net estimator. Two types of oracle inequalities are derived for the NBR's elastic-net estimates by using the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Huiming Zhang , Jinzhu Jia