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A model of the opinion dynamics underlying the political decision is proposed. The analysis is restricted to a bipolar scheme with a possible third political area. The interaction among voters is local but the final decision strongly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Filippo Caruso , Paolo Castorina

Are there voting methods which (i) give everyone, including minorities, an equal share of effective power even if voters act strategically, (ii) promote consensus rather than polarization and inequality, and (iii) do not favour the status…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-12 Jobst Heitzig , Forest W. Simmons

This short note is devoted to the representative dynamics, which realizes a link between the theory of controlled systems and representation theory. Dynamical inverse problem of representation theory for controlled systems is considered: to…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Denis V. Juriev

In the voter model, vertices of a graph (interpreted as voters) adopt one out of two opinions (0 and 1), and update their opinions at random times by copying the opinion of a neighbor chosen uniformly at random. This process is dual to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Jhon Astoquillca

Dimensionality reduction is ubiquitous in analysis of complex dynamics. The conventional dimensionality reduction techniques, however, focus on reproducing the underlying configuration space, rather than the dynamics itself. The constructed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Sergei V. Krivov

In this paper, we study the distributionally robust joint chance constrained Markov decision process. {Utilizing the logarithmic transformation technique,} we derive its deterministic reformulation with bi-convex terms under the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-03 Tian Xia , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

Dynamic state estimation (DSE) accurately tracks the dynamics of a power system and provides the evolution of the system state in real-time. This paper focuses on the control and protection applications of DSE, comprehensively presenting…

We propose a dynamic allocation procedure that increases power and efficiency when measuring an average treatment effect in sequential randomized trials. Subjects arrive iteratively and are either randomized or paired via a matching…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-23 Adam Kapelner , Abba Krieger

In this paper, a new method of detection of election fraud is proposed. This method is based on the calculation of the ratio of two standard normal random variables; estimation of parameters of obtained sample and comparison of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Ivan H. Krykun

Human dynamics and sociophysics suggest statistical models that may explain and provide us with better insight into social phenomena. Here we propose a generative model based on a stochastic differential equation that allows us to analyse…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-17 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

We introduce dynamic probability kinematics (DPK), a method for an agent to mechanically update subjective beliefs in the presence of partial information. We then generalize DPK to dynamic imprecise probability kinematics (DIPK), which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Michele Caprio , Ruobin Gong

Partisan gerrymandering, i.e., manipulation of electoral district boundaries for political advantage, is one of the major challenges to election integrity in modern day democracies. Yet most of the existing methods for detecting partisan…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Wojciech Słomczyński , Dariusz Stolicki , Stanisław Szufa

If two control systems on manifolds of the same dimension are dynamic equivalent, we prove that either they are static equivalent --i.e. equivalent via a classical diffeomorphism-- or they are both ruled; for systems of different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-12-14 Jean-Baptiste Pomet

Dynamic discrete choice models are widely employed to answer substantive and policy questions in settings where individuals' current choices have future implications. However, estimation of these models is often computationally intensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Ebrahim Barzegary , Hema Yoganarasimhan

We present a new model that describes the process of electing a group of representatives (e.g., a parliament) for a group of voters. In this model, called the voting committee model, the elected group of representatives runs a number of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Piotr Skowron

Divisor methods are well known to satisfy house monotonicity, which allows representative seats to be allocated sequentially. We focus on stationary divisor methods defined by a rounding cutpoint $c \in [0,1]$. For such methods with…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Michael A. Jones , Brittany Ohlinger , Jennifer Wilson

Approximate dynamic programming is a popular method for solving large Markov decision processes. This paper describes a new class of approximate dynamic programming (ADP) methods- distributionally robust ADP-that address the curse of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-05-22 Marek Petrik

While significant advancements have been made in the field of fair machine learning, the majority of studies focus on scenarios where the decision model operates on a static population. In this paper, we study fairness in dynamic systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Yaowei Hu , Jacob Lear , Lu Zhang

We consider a social choice problem where only a small number of people out of a large population are sufficiently available or motivated to vote. A common solution to increase participation is to allow voters use a proxy, that is, transfer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Gal Cohensius , Shie Manor , Reshef Meir , Eli Meirom , Ariel Orda

In this contribution we analyze a parties' vote share distribution across the polling stations during the Lithuanian parliamentary elections of 1992, 2008 and 2012. We find that the distribution is rather well fitted by the Beta…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-01 A. Kononovicius