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Gaussian Processes and the Kullback-Leibler divergence have been deeply studied in Statistics and Machine Learning. This paper marries these two concepts and introduce the local Kullback-Leibler divergence to learn about intervals where two…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-13 Nicolás Hernández , Gabriel Martos

In this paper, we study the statistical and geometrical properties of the Kullback-Leibler divergence with kernel covariance operators (KKL) introduced by Bach [2022]. Unlike the classical Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence that involves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Clémentine Chazal , Anna Korba , Francis Bach

We show that the predicted probability distributions for any $N$-parameter statistical model taking the form of an exponential family can be explicitly and analytically embedded isometrically in a $N{+}N$-dimensional Minkowski space. That…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Han Kheng Teoh , Katherine N. Quinn , Jaron Kent-Dobias , Colin B. Clement , Qingyang Xu , James P. Sethna

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular tool for Bayesian inference in statistical modeling. Recently, some VB algorithms are proposed to handle intractable likelihoods with applications such as approximate Bayesian computation. In this paper,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Zhijian He , Zhenghang Xu , Xiaoqun Wang

In this work we study the long time behavior of nonlinear stochastic functional-differential equations in Hilbert spaces. In particular, we start with establishing the existence and uniqueness of mild solutions. We proceed with deriving a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Oleksandr Misiats , Viktoriia Mogylova , Oleksandr Stanzhytskyi

We initiate a study of the following problem: Given a continuous domain $\Omega$ along with its convex hull $\mathcal{K}$, a point $A \in \mathcal{K}$ and a prior measure $\mu$ on $\Omega$, find the probability density over $\Omega$ whose…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Jonathan Leake , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

The task of reconstructing a matrix given a sample of observedentries is known as the matrix completion problem. It arises ina wide range of problems, including recommender systems, collaborativefiltering, dimensionality reduction, image…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-20 Jean Lafond , Olga Klopp , Eric Moulines , Jospeh Salmon

This work studies the variation in Kullback-Leibler divergence between random draws from some popular nonparametric processes and their baseline measure. In particular we focus on the Dirichlet process, the P\'olya tree and the frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 James Watson , Luis Nieto-Barajas , Chris Holmes

Let $(X,d)$ be a compact metric space. We consider the behavior of probability measures $\mu$ with the property that $$ \int_{X} d(x, y) d\mu(y) \qquad \mbox{is independent of}~x \in X.$$ It appears that such measures, when they exist,…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Stefan Steinerberger

A Bayesian approach to variable selection which is based on the expected Kullback-Leibler divergence between the full model and its projection onto a submodel has recently been suggested in the literature. Here we extend this idea by…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-30 David Nott , Chenlei Leng

Vecchia's approximate likelihood for Gaussian process parameters depends on how the observations are ordered, which can be viewed as a deficiency because the exact likelihood is permutation-invariant. This article takes the alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-20 Joseph Guinness

Bayesian inference has many advantages for complex models, but standard Monte Carlo methods for summarizing the posterior can be computationally demanding, and it is attractive to consider optimization-based variational methods. Our work…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-09 Aoxiang Chen , David J. Nott , Linda S. L. Tan

We present a definition of the distance between probability distributions. Our definition is based on the $L_1$ norm on space of probability measures. We compare our distance with the well-known Kullback-Leibler divergence and with the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Robert J. Budzyński , Witold Kondracki , Andrzej Królak

We establish quantitative comparisons between classical distances for probability distributions belonging to the class of convex probability measures. Distances include total variation distance, Wasserstein distance, Kullback-Leibler…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Arnaud Marsiglietti , Puja Pandey

This article is devoted to the study of overlap measures of densities of two exponential populations. Various Overlapping Coefficients, namely: Matusita's measure $\rho$, Morisita's measure $\lambda$ and Weitzman's measure $\Delta$. A new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Hamza Dhaker , Papa Ngom , Malick Mbodj

The aim of this paper is to approximate a finite-state Markov process by another process with fewer states, called herein the approximating process. The approximation problem is formulated using two different methods. The first method,…

This paper studies the problem of interacting multiple model (IMM) estimation for jump Markov linear systems with unknown measurement noise covariance. The system state and the unknown covariance are jointly estimated in the framework of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-06 Wenling Li , Yingmin Jia

A sequence $x_1,\dots,x_n,\dots$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, one is required to give conditional probabilities of the next…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-30 Daniil Ryabko

Variable importance in regression analyses is of considerable interest in a variety of fields. There is no unique method for assessing variable importance. However, a substantial share of the available literature employs Shapley values,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Sinan Acemoglu , Christian Kleiber , Jörg Urban

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal