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Related papers: Small Area Estimation via Multivariate Fay-Herriot…

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In small area estimation, it is a smart strategy to rely on data measured over time. However, linear mixed models struggle to properly capture time dependencies when the number of lags is large. Given the lack of published studies…

Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For instance, public health officials might be interested in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Stephen Bates , Tamara Broderick

Recent developments in engineering techniques for spatial data collection such as geographic information systems have resulted in an increasing need for methods to analyze large spatial data sets. These sorts of data sets can be found in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Toshihiro Hirano

We consider the problem of spatially dependent areal data, where for each area independent observations are available, and propose to model the density of each area through a finite mixture of Gaussian distributions. The spatial dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Mario Beraha , Matteo Pegoraro , Riccardo Peli , Alessandra Guglielmi

Understanding the complex nature of spatial information is crucial for problem solving in social and environmental sciences. This study investigates how the underlying patterns of spatial data can significantly influence the outcomes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-17 Peng Luo , Yongze Song , Wenwen Li , Liqiu Meng

The Spatial AutoRegressive model (SAR) is commonly used in studies involving spatial and network data to estimate the spatial or network peer influence and the effects of covariates on the response, taking into account the dependence among…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Subhadeep Paul , Shanjukta Nath

Machine learning models with both good predictability and high interpretability are crucial for decision support systems. Linear regression is one of the most interpretable prediction models. However, the linearity in a simple linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Lkhagvadorj Munkhdalai , Tsendsuren Munkhdalai , Keun Ho Ryu

We discuss a class of difference-based estimators for the autocovariance in nonparametric regression when the signal is discontinuous (change-point regression), possibly highly fluctuating, and the errors form a stationary $m$-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-09 Inder Tecuapetla-Gómez , Axel Munk

Nonparametric methods have been very popular in the last couple of decades in time series and regression, but no such development has taken place for spatial models. A rather obvious reason for this is the curse of dimensionality. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jiti Gao , Zudi Lu , Dag Tjøstheim

When modeling geostatistical or areal data, spatial structure is commonly accommodated via a covariance function for the former and a neighborhood structure for the latter. In both cases the resulting spatial structure is a consequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-20 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana

Accurate estimation for extent of cross{sectional dependence in large panel data analysis is paramount to further statistical analysis on the data under study. Grouping more data with weak relations (cross{sectional dependence) together…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-16 Jiti Gao , Guangming Pan , Yanrong Yang , Bo Zhang

Environmental data may be "large" due to number of records, number of covariates, or both. Random forests has a reputation for good predictive performance when using many covariates with nonlinear relationships, whereas spatial regression,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-27 Eric W. Fox , Jay M. Ver Hoef , Anthony R. Olsen

We develop a new Bayesian approach to estimating panel spatial autoregressive models with a known number of latent common factors, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger than T, the number of time periods. Without…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G Hall , George S. Tavlas

In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

Small area estimation (SAE) improves estimates for local communities or groups, such as counties, neighborhoods, or demographic subgroups, when data are insufficient for each area. This is important for targeting local resources and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Rayleigh Lei , Yajuan Si

We propose a probabilistic model for inferring the multivariate function from multiple areal data sets with various granularities. Here, the areal data are observed not at location points but at regions. Existing regression-based models can…

Spatial autocorrelation analysis is the basis for spatial autoregressive modeling. However, the relationships between spatial correlation coefficients and spatial regression models are not yet well clarified. The paper is devoted to explore…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-15 Yanguang Chen

The United States (US) Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program operates the national forest inventory of the US. Traditionally, the FIA program has relied on sample-based approaches -- permanent plot networks and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-01 Hunter Stanke , Andrew O. Finley , Grant M. Domke

Preferential sampling provides a formal modeling specification to capture the effect of bias in a set of sampling locations on inference when a geostatistical model is used to explain observed responses at the sampled locations. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-21 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand