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Many novel notions of "risk" (e.g., CVaR, tilted risk, DRO risk) have been proposed and studied, but these risks are all at least as sensitive as the mean to loss tails on the upside, and tend to ignore deviations on the downside. We study…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-17 Matthew J. Holland

Uncertainty relations for a pair of arbitrary measurements and for a single measurement are posed in the form of inequalities using the Renyi entropies. The formulation deals with discrete observables. Both the relations with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-07-21 A. E. Rastegin

We study the consistency and weak convergence of the conditional tail function and conditional Hill estimators under broad dependence assumptions for a heavy-tailed response sequence and a covariate sequence. Consistency is established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Martin Bladt , Laurits Glargaard , Theodor Henningsen

The rapid development of affordable and compact high-fidelity sensors (e.g., cameras and LIDAR) allows robots to construct detailed estimates of their states and environments. However, the availability of such rich sensor information…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Vincent Pacelli , Anirudha Majumdar

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

Economists often estimate economic models on data and use the point estimates as a stand-in for the truth when studying the model's implications for optimal decision-making. This practice ignores model ambiguity, exposes the decision…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-07 Maximilian Blesch , Philipp Eisenhauer

Trainable activation functions, whose parameters are optimized alongside network weights, offer increased expressivity compared to fixed activation functions. Specifically, trainable activation functions defined as ratios of polynomials…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Rafał Surdej , Michał Bortkiewicz , Alex Lewandowski , Mateusz Ostaszewski , Clare Lyle

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan

We derive a new residual-type a posteriori estimator for a singularly perturbed reaction-diffusion problem with obstacle constraints. It generalizes robust residual estimators for unconstrained singularly perturbed equations. Upper and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Mirjam Walloth

The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

The paper studies the robust maximization of utility of terminal wealth in the diffusion financial market model. The underlying model consists with risky tradable asset, whose price is described by diffusion process with misspecified trend…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-17 R. Tevzadze , T. Toronjadze

Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} X_{i} \prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

Considerable literature has been devoted to developing statistical inferential results for risk measures, especially for those that are of the form of L-functionals. However, practical and theoretical considerations have highlighted quite a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-31 Abdelhakim Necir , Ričardas Zitikis

Many real-world domains require safe decision making in uncertain environments. In this work, we introduce a deep reinforcement learning framework for approaching this important problem. We consider a distribution over transition models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 James Queeney , Mouhacine Benosman

This paper studies a robust utility maximization problem for intractable claims under distributional ambiguity, where the distribution of the claim cannot be inferred from market information and its dependence with tradable assets is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Xingjian Ma

We study the critical behavior of the component sizes for the configuration model when the tail of the degree distribution of a randomly chosen vertex is a regularly-varying function with exponent $\tau-1$, where $\tau\in (3,4)$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Souvik Dhara , Remco van der Hofstad , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden , Sanchayan Sen

The scaling of entanglement with subsystem size encodes key information about phases and criticality, but the von Neumann entropy is costly to access in experiments and simulations, often requiring full state tomography. The second R\'enyi…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-01-09 Hatem Barghathi , Adrian Del Maestro

The estimation of signal dimension under heavy-tailed latent factor models is studied. As a primary contribution, robust extensions of an earlier estimator based on Gaussian Stein's unbiased risk estimation are proposed. These novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Joni Virta , Niko Lietzen , Henri Nyberg

Identifying groups of variables that may be large simultaneously amounts to finding out which joint tail dependence coefficients of a multivariate distribution are positive. The asymptotic distribution of a vector of nonparametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Maël Chiapino , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

As machine learning models are increasingly being employed in various high-stakes settings, it becomes important to ensure that predictions of these models are not only adversarially robust, but also readily explainable to relevant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Satyapriya Krishna , Chirag Agarwal , Himabindu Lakkaraju