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Many real-world time series exhibit strong periodic structures arising from physical laws, human routines, or seasonal cycles. However, modern deep forecasting models often fail to capture these recurring patterns due to spectral bias and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Although deep learning has achieved appealing results on several machine learning tasks, most of the models are deterministic at inference, limiting their application to single-modal settings. We propose a novel general-purpose framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Sameera Ramasinghe , Kanchana Ranasinghe , Salman Khan , Nick Barnes , Stephen Gould

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

Numerical solvers of partial differential equations (PDEs) have been widely employed for simulating physical systems. However, the computational cost remains a major bottleneck in various scientific and engineering applications, which has…

The need to recognise long-term dependencies in sequential data such as video streams has made Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks a prominent Artificial Intelligence model for many emerging applications. However, the high computational…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-31 Alexandros Kouris , Stylianos I. Venieris , Michail Rizakis , Christos-Savvas Bouganis

Latent space models are popular for analyzing dynamic network data. We propose a variational approach to estimate the model parameters as well as the latent positions of the nodes in the network. The variational approach is much faster than…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Yan Liu , Yuguo Chen

LLM inference exhibits substantial variability across queries and execution phases, yet inference configurations are often applied uniformly. We present a measurement-driven characterization of workload heterogeneity and energy-performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Paul Joe Maliakel , Shashikant Ilager , Ivona Brandic

Bayesian multinomial logistic-normal (MLN) models are popular for the analysis of sequence count data (e.g., microbiome or gene expression data) due to their ability to model multivariate count data with complex covariance structure.…

Modeling the time-dependent evolution of electron density is essential for understanding quantum mechanical behaviors of condensed matter and enabling predictive simulations in spectroscopy, photochemistry, and ultrafast science. Yet, while…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Yuan Chiang , Youngsoo Choi , Daniel Osei-Kuffuor

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are a popular class of Bayesian hierarchical models that include Gaussian processes, as well as certain spatial models and mixed-effect models. Efficient Bayesian inference of LGMs often requires marginalizing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jinlin Lai , Charles C. Margossian , Daniel R. Sheldon

Modeling nonstationary processes is of paramount importance to many scientific disciplines including environmental science, ecology, and finance, among others. Consequently, flexible methodology that provides accurate estimation across a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-13 Wen-Hsi Yang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Recently, small models with latent recursion have obtained promising results on complex reasoning tasks. These results are typically explained by the theory that such recursion increases a networks depth, allowing it to compactly emulate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Arip Asadulaev , Rayan Banerjee , Fakhri Karray , Martin Takac

Bilateral teleoperation of low-speed Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs) on soft terrains is crucial for applications like lunar exploration, offering effective control of terrain-induced longitudinal slippage. However, latency arising from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-27 Ahmad Abubakar , Yahya Zweiri , AbdelGafoor Haddad , Mubarak Yakubu , Ruqayya Alhammadi , Lakmal Seneviratne

Traditional categorical data, often collected in psychological tests and educational assessments, are typically single-layer and gathered only once.This paper considers a more general case, multi-layer categorical data with polytomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-13 Huan Qing

Model-free reinforcement learning (RL) is a powerful, general tool for learning complex behaviors. However, its sample efficiency is often impractically large for solving challenging real-world problems, even with off-policy algorithms such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Vitchyr Pong , Shixiang Gu , Murtaza Dalal , Sergey Levine

Recent studies have shown that deep learning models such as RNNs and Transformers have brought significant performance gains for long-term forecasting of time series because they effectively utilize historical information. We found,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Xue wang , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Tao Yao , Wotao Yin , Rong Jin

The Linear Multistep Method Particle Filter (LMM PF) is a method for predicting the evolution in time of a evolutionary system governed by a system of differential equations. If some of the parameters of the governing equations are…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Daniela Calvetti , Salvatore Cuomo , Monica Pragliola , Erkki Somersalo , Gerardo Toraldo

Liquid State Machine (LSM) is a brain-inspired architecture used for solving problems like speech recognition and time series prediction. LSM comprises of a randomly connected recurrent network of spiking neurons. This network propagates…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Ajinkya Gorad , Vivek Saraswat , Udayan Ganguly