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While probability theory is normally applied to external environments, there has been some recent interest in probabilistic modeling of the outputs of computations that are too expensive to run. Since mathematical logic is a powerful tool…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Scott Garrabrant , Benya Fallenstein , Abram Demski , Nate Soares

Weak Kleene logics are three-valued logics characterized by the presence of an infectious truth-value. In their external versions, as they were originally introduced by Bochvar and Hallden, these systems are equipped with an additional…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Stefano Bonzio , Nicolò Zamperlin

A general notion of algebraic conditional plausibility measures is defined. Probability measures, ranking functions, possibility measures, and (under the appropriate definitions) sets of probability measures can all be viewed as defining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-16 Joseph Y. Halpern

Given a model in algebraic statistics and some data, the likelihood function is a rational function on a projective variety. Algebraic algorithms are presented for computing all critical points of this function, with the aim of identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serkan Hosten , Amit Khetan , Bernd Sturmfels

In the practical deployment of machine learning (ML) models, missing data represents a recurring challenge. Missing data is often addressed when training ML models. But missing data also needs to be addressed when deciding predictions and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Ramón Béjar , António Morgado , Jordi Planes , Joao Marques-Silva

Argumentation problems are concerned with determining the acceptability of a set of arguments from their relational structure. When the available information is uncertain, probabilistic argumentation frameworks provide modelling tools to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Pietro Totis , Angelika Kimmig , Luc De Raedt

There are at least two ways to interpret numerical degrees of belief in terms of betting: (1) you can offer to bet at the odds defined by the degrees of belief, or (2) you can judge that a strategy for taking advantage of such betting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-12 Glenn Shafer

The relationship between communicated language and intended meaning is often probabilistic and sensitive to context. Numerous strategies attempt to estimate such a mapping, often leveraging recursive Bayesian models of communication. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Benjamin Lipkin , Lionel Wong , Gabriel Grand , Joshua B Tenenbaum

These are lecture notes written at the University of Zurich during spring 2014 and spring 2015. The first part of the notes gives an introduction to probability theory. It explains the notion of random events and random variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Nima Moshayedi

The aim of this article is to promote the use of probabilistic methods in the study of problems in mathematical general relativity. Two new and simple singularity theorems, whose features are different from the classical singularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-21 Ismael Bailleul

This article aims to provide a unified and technical approach to semantic information, communication, and their interplay through the lens of probabilistic logic. To this end, on top of the existing technical communication (TC) layer, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Jinho Choi , Seng W. Loke , Jihong Park

In this paper, we present a propositional logic (called mixed logic) containing disjoint copies of minimal, intuitionistic and classical logics. We prove a completeness theorem for this logic with respect to a Kripke semantics. We establish…

Logic · Mathematics 2009-05-05 Karim Nour , Abir Nour

This paper is motivated by the questions of how to give the concept of probability an adequate real-world meaning, and how to explain a certain type of phenomenon that can be found, for instance, in Ellsberg's paradox. It attempts to answer…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-03-25 Russell J. Bowater

This paper explores morpho-syntactic ambiguities for French to develop a strategy for part-of-speech disambiguation that a) reflects the complexity of French as an inflected language, b) optimizes the estimation of probabilities, c) allows…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Evelyne Tzoukermann , Dragomir R. Radev , William A. Gale

Testing hypotheses is an issue of primary importance in the scientific research, as well as in many other human activities. Much clarification about it can be achieved if the process of learning from data is framed in a stochastic model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

In finite probability theory, events are subsets of the outcome set. Subsets can be represented by 1-dimensional column vectors. By extending the representation of events to two dimensional matrices, we can introduce "superposition events."…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-18 David Ellerman

A framework for consensus modelling is introduced using Kleene's three valued logic as a means to express vagueness in agents' beliefs. Explicitly borderline cases are inherent to propositions involving vague concepts where sentences of a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-01-15 Michael Crosscombe , Jonathan Lawry

This paper introduces and studies the basic properties of Clifford algebra valued conditional measures.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-25 Carlos C. Rodriguez

The concept of typicality refers to properties holding for the "overwhelming majority" of cases and is a fundamental idea of the qualitative approach to dynamical problems. We argue that measure-theoretical typicality would be the adequate…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sergio B. Volchan

Probabilistic argumentation allows reasoning about argumentation problems in a way that is well-founded by probability theory. However, in practice, this approach can be severely limited by the fact that probabilities are defined by adding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Nico Potyka
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