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We consider sequences of random variables of the type $S_n= n^{-1/2} \sum_{k=1}^n \{f(X_k)-\E[f(X_k)]\}$, $n\geq 1$, where $X=(X_k)_{k\in \Z}$ is a $d$-dimensional Gaussian process and $f: \R^d \rightarrow \R$ is a measurable function. It…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-08 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati , Mark Podolskij

We examine diffusion-limited aggregation for a one-dimensional random walk with long jumps. We achieve upper and lower bounds on the growth rate of the aggregate as a function of the number of moments a single step of the walk has. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-20 Gideon Amir , Omer Angel , Gady Kozma

It is well known that, under broad assumptions, the time-scaled point process of exceedances of a high level by a stationary sequence converges to a compound Poisson process as the level grows. The purpose of this note is to demonstrate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Konstantin Borovkov , Serguei Novak

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

Let B_1,B_2, ... be independent one-dimensional Brownian motions defined over the whole real line such that B_i(0)=0. We consider the nth iterated Brownian motion W_n(t)= B_n(B_{n-1}(...(B_2(B_1(t)))...)). Although the sequences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-19 Nicolas Curien , Takis Konstantopoulos

For a finite state Markov process and a finite collection $\{ \Gamma_k, k \in K \}$ of subsets of its state space, let $\tau_k$ be the first time the process visits the set $\Gamma_k$. We derive explicit/recursive formulas for the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-03 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Monique Jeanblanc , Ali Devin Sezer

We consider a class of self-similar, continuous Gaussian processes that do not necessarily have stationary increments. We prove a version of the Breuer-Major theorem for this class, that is, subject to conditions on the covariance function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Daniel Harnett , David Nualart

Let $\xi$ be the stationary occupation field generated by a Poisson system of independent simple symmetric random walks on $\mathbb Z$ in space--time dimension $1+1$. For a finite set $A\subset\mathbb Z$, we consider the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ao Huang , Guanglin Rang , Zhonggen Su

In this paper, we develop a general machinery for finding explicit uniform probability and moment bounds on sub-additive positive functionals of random processes. Using the developed general technique, we derive uniform bounds on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-09 Alexander Goldenshluger , Oleg Lepski

We introduce a technique to merge two biased Brownian motions into a single regular process. The outcome follows a stochastic differential equation with a constant diffusion coefficient and a non-linear drift. The emerging stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Miquel Montero

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

The original density is 1 for $t\in (0,1)$, $b$ is an integer base ($b\geq 2$%), and $p\in (0,1)$ is a parameter. The first construction stage divides the unit interval into $b$ subintervals and multiplies the density in each subinterval by…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Julien Barral , Benoit Mandelbrot

In this paper, we answer a question posed by Kurt Johansson, to find a PDE for the joint distribution of the Airy Process. The latter is a continuous stationary process, describing the motion of the outermost particle of the Dyson Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Adler , Pierre van Moerbeke

Suppose that $k$ series, all having the same autocorrelation function, are observed in parallel at $n$ points in time or space. From a single series of moderate length, the autocorrelation parameter $\beta$ can be estimated with limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Peter McCullagh

We discuss nonparametric estimation of the distribution function $G(x)$ of the autoregressive coefficient $a \in (-1,1)$ from a panel of $N$ random-coefficient AR(1) data, each of length $n$, by the empirical distribution function of lag 1…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Donatas Surgailis

Density aggregation is a central problem in machine learning, for instance when combining predictions from a Deep Ensemble. The choice of aggregation remains an open question with two commonly proposed approaches being linear pooling…

The first-order autoregressive process, AR (1), has been widely used and implemented in time series analysis. Different estimation methods have been employed in order to estimate the autoregressive parameter. This article focuses on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Hossein Masoumi Karakani , Janet van Niekerk , Paul van Staden

We discuss invariance principles for autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving averages in $\alpha$-stable $(1< \alpha \le 2)$ i.i.d. innovations and related tempered linear processes with vanishing tempering parameter $\lambda…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Farzad Sabzikar , Donatas Surgailis

In this work, we prove the joint convergence in distribution of $q$ variables modulo one obtained as partial sums of a sequence of i.i.d. square integrable random variables multiplied by a common factor given by some function of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Roberta Flenghi , Benjamin Jourdain

The standard central limit theorem with a Gaussian attractor for the sum of independent random variables may lose its validity in presence of strong correlations between the added random contributions. Here, we study this problem for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-14 Adrian A. Budini