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Prediction is one of the major challenges in complex systems. The prediction methods have shown to be effective predictors of the evolution of networks. These methods can help policy makers to solve practical problems successfully and make…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-05 Hao Liao , Xiao-Min Huang , Xing-Tong Wu , Ming-Kai Liu , Alexandre Vidmer , Mingyang Zhou , Yi-Cheng Zhang

A transformation network describes how one set of resources can be transformed into another via technological processes. Transformation networks in economics are useful because they can highlight areas for future innovations, both in terms…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-12-21 Christopher D. Hollander , Ivan Garibay

We examine world migration as a social-spatial network of countries connected via movements of people. We assess how multilateral migratory relationships at global, regional, and local scales coexist ("glocalization"), divide…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-31 Valentin Danchev , Mason A. Porter

The \emph{World Trade Web} (WTW), the network defined by the international import/export trade relationships, has been recently shown to display some important topological properties which are tightly related to the Gross Domestic Product…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , M. I. Loffredo

Migration's impact spans various social dimensions, including demography, sustainability, politics, economy and gender disparities. Yet, the decision-making process behind migrants choosing their destination remains elusive. Existing models…

Many economic activities are embedded in networks: sets of agents and the (often) rivalrous relationships connecting them to one another. Input sourcing by firms, interbank lending, scientific research, and job search are four examples,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-16 Bryan S. Graham

In this paper, we design two chapters to discuss trade dynamics with heterogeneous fluctuations, contributing new insights to macroeconomic issues related to international trade. In the first chapter, we model general exchange rate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-11 Yongheng Hu

International trade has been increasingly organized in the form of global value chains (GVCs) where different stages of production are located in different countries. This recent phenomenon has substantial consequences for both trade policy…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-20 Zhen Zhu , Greg Morrison , Michelangelo Puliga , Alessandro Chessa , Massimo Riccaboni

The digital exhaust left by flows of physical and digital commodities provides a rich measure of the nature, strength and significance of relationships between countries in the global network. With this work, we examine how these traces and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Desislava Hristova , Alex Rutherford , Jose Anson , Miguel Luengo-Oroz , Cecilia Mascolo

Much of the analysis of economic growth has focused on the study of aggregate output. Here, we deviate from this tradition and look instead at the structure of output embodied in the network connecting countries to the products that they…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-02 Ricardo Hausmann , Cesar A. Hidalgo

We analyze export data aggregated at world global level of 219 classes of products over a period of 39 years. Our main goal is to set up a dynamical model to identify and quantify plausible mechanisms by which the evolutions of the various…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Michele Caraglio , Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

Predicting the future evolution of complex systems is one of the main challenges in complexity science. Based on a current snapshot of a network, link prediction algorithms aim to predict its future evolution. We apply here link prediction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-18 Alexandre Vidmer , An Zeng , Matúš Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

In the study of economic networks, econometric approaches interpret the traditional Gravity Model specification as the expected link weight coming from a probability distribution whose functional form can be chosen arbitrarily, while…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-15 Marzio Di Vece , Diego Garlaschelli , Tiziano Squartini

We introduce an algorithm able to reconstruct the relevant network structure on which the time evolution of country-product bipartite networks takes place. The significant links are obtained by selecting the largest values of the projected…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-24 Andrea Zaccaria , Matthieu Cristelli , Andrea Tacchella , Luciano Pietronero

Most studies on the labor market effects of immigration use repeated cross-sectional data to estimate the effects of immigration on regions. This paper shows that such regional effects are composites of effects that address fundamental…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Christian Dustmann , Sebastian Otten , Uta Schönberg , Jan Stuhler

Cities are widely considered the lifeblood of a nations economy housing the bulk of industries, commercial and trade activities, and employment opportunities. Within this economic context, multinational corporations play an important role…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-05 Mohammad Yousuf Mehmood , Syed Junaid Haqqani , Faraz Zaidi , Celine Rozenblat

The increasing integration of world economies, which organize in complex multilayer networks of interactions, is one of the critical factors for the global propagation of economic crises. We adopt the network science approach to quantify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-09 Michele Starnini , Marián Boguñá , M. Ángeles Serrano

The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Irena Vodenska , Eugene Stanley , Guanrong Chen

We study the analysis of all the movements of the population on the basis of their mobility from one node to another, to observe, measure, and predict the impact of traffic according to this mobility. The frequency of congestion on roads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-14 Henock M. Mboko , Mouhamadou A. M. T. Balde , Babacar M. Ndiaye

Industries can enter one country first, and then enter its neighbors' markets. Firms in the industry can expand trade network through the export behavior of other firms in the industry. If a firm is dependent on a few foreign markets, the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-15 Xuejian Wang