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Poly-trees are singly connected causal networks in which variables may arise from multiple causes. This paper develops a method of recovering ply-trees from empirically measured probability distributions of pairs of variables. The method…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 George Rebane , Judea Pearl

Random-cluster measures on infinite regular trees are studied in conjunction with a general type of `boundary condition', namely an equivalence relation on the set of infinite paths of the tree. The uniqueness and non-uniqueness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Geoffrey Grimmett , Svante Janson

We reconsider the deterministic haploid mutation-selection equation with two types. This is an ordinary differential equation that describes the type distribution (forward in time) in a population of infinite size. This paper establishes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

Consider a collection of random variables attached to the vertices of a graph. The reconstruction problem requires to estimate one of them given `far away' observations. Several theoretical results (and simple algorithms) are available when…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Antoine Gerschenfeld , Andrea Montanari

Phylogenetic trees describe the relationships between species in the evolutionary process, and provide information about the rates of diversification. To understand the mechanisms behind macroevolution, we consider a class of multitype…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-07 Mingqi He , Sophie Hautphenne , Yao-ban Chan

Random forests are decision tree ensembles that can be used to solve a variety of machine learning problems. However, as the number of trees and their individual size can be large, their decision making process is often incomprehensible. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Nico Potyka , Xiang Yin , Francesca Toni

We study random two-dimensional spanning forests in the plane that can be viewed both in the discrete case and in their appropriately taken scaling limits as a uniformly chosen spanning tree with some Poissonian deletion of edges or points.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Stéphane Benoist , Laure Dumaz , Wendelin Werner

Several real-world and abstract structures and systems are characterized by marked hierarchy to the point of being expressed as trees. Because the study of these entities often involves sampling (or discovering) the tree nodes in a specific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-18 Alexandre Benatti , Luciano da F. Costa

The standard models of sequence evolution on a tree determine probabilities for every character or site pattern. A flattening is an arrangement of these probabilities into a matrix, with rows corresponding to all possible site patterns for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-10 Jandre Snyman , Colin Fox , David Bryant

Let $G$ be a finite tree with root $r$ and associate to the internal vertices of $G$ a collection of transition probabilities for a simple nondegenerate Markov chain. Embedd $G$ into a graph $G^\prime$ constructed by gluing finite linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor de la Pena , Henryk Gzyl , Patrick McDonald

We destroy a finite tree of size $n$ by cutting its edges one after the other and in uniform random order. Informally, the associated cut-tree describes the genealogy of the connected components created by this destruction process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Gabriel Berzunza

Phylogenetic invariants are certain polynomials in the joint probability distribution of a Markov model on a phylogenetic tree. Such polynomials are of theoretical interest in the field of algebraic statistics and they are also of practical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-21 Nicholas Eriksson

The reconstruction of phylogenetic trees from discrete character data typically relies on models that assume the characters evolve under a continuous-time Markov process operating at some overall rate $\lambda$. When $\lambda$ is too high…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-13 Mike Steel , Christoph Leuenberger

Markov random fields are common prior distributions used in Bayesian inverse imaging problems. In particular, difference priors assign probability distributions to differences between neighbouring pixels, such as Gaussian, Laplace, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Jasper Marijn Everink

We consider the genealogical tree of a stationary continuous state branching process with immigration. For a sub-critical stable branching mechanism, we consider the genealogical tree of the extant population at some fixed time and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hui He

(Multi-type) branching processes are a natural and well-studied model for generating random infinite trees. Branching processes feature both nondeterministic and probabilistic branching, generalizing both transition systems and Markov…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Stefan Kiefer , Pavel Semukhin , Cas Widdershoven

We consider the phylogenetic tree reconstruction problem with insertions and deletions (indels). Phylogenetic algorithms proceed under a model where sequences evolve down the model tree, and given sequences at the leaves, the problem is to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Arun Ganesh , Qiuyi Zhang

We develop a theoretical framework for the analysis of oblique decision trees, where the splits at each decision node occur at linear combinations of the covariates (as opposed to conventional tree constructions that force axis-aligned…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Jason M. Klusowski

A widely studied model for generating sequences is to ``evolve'' them on a tree according to a symmetric Markov process. We prove that model trees tend to be maximally ``far apart'' in terms of variational distance.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 M. A. Steel , L. A. Székely
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