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We study multidimensional Cram\'er-Lundberg risk processes where agents, located on a large sparse network, receive losses form their neighbors. To reduce the dimensionality of the problem, we introduce classification of agents according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Andreea Minca , Agnès Sulem

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company invests its reserve in a risky asset with a switching regime price. We assume that the asset price is a conditional geometric Brownian motion with parameters modulated by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Wenhao Li , Bolong Wang , Tianxiang Shen , Ronghua Zhu , Dehui Wang

Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions. We model the occurrence of claims according to a renewal process. One ruin problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn R. Pistorius

The paper deals with the ruin problem of an insurance company investing its capital reserve in a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a conditional geometric Brownian motion whose parameters depend on a Markov process describing a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Viktor Antipov , Yuri Kabanov

This paper presents a novel model for bivariate stochastic fluid processes that incorporate a ruin-dependent behavioral switch. Unlike typical models that assume a shared underlying process, our model allows each process to operate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

In many insurance contexts, dependence between risks of a portfolio may arise from their frequencies. We investigate a dependent risk model in which we assume the vector of count variables to be a tree-structured Markov random field with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Hélène Cossette , Benjamin Côté , Alexandre Dubeau , Etienne Marceau

Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 David J. Santana , Luis Rincon

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

Decision-theoretic planning with risk-sensitive planning objectives is important for building autonomous agents or decision-support systems for real-world applications. However, this line of research has been largely ignored in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Yaxin Liu , Sven Koenig

The insurance model when the amount of claims depends on the state of the insured person (healthy, ill, or dead) and claims are connected in a Markov chain is investigated. The signed compound Poisson approximation is applied to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Gabija Liaudanskaitė , Vydas Čekanavičius

Damage scenarios for large networks are considered. The cascade scenario is described by means of powers of adjacency matrix. More difficult probabilistic variants of the large network damage are modeling by Markov chains. For reliability…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-10-10 P. A. Golovinski

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

We study a Sparre Andersen model in which the business activity of the company is described by a compound renewal process with drift assuming that the capital reserves are invested in a risky asset. The price of the latter is assumed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ernst Eberlain , Yuri Kabanov , Thorsten Schmidt

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Olga Navickienė , Jonas Sprindys , Jonas Šiaulys

We introduce the hybrid risk process, constructed via a time-change transformation applied to the solution of a hybrid stochastic differential equation. The framework covers several modern ruin settings, incorporating features like…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Oscar Peralta , Habacuq Vallejo