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Financial markets across all asset classes are known to exhibit trends. These trends have been exploited by traders for decades. Here, we empirically measure when trends revert, based on 30 years of daily futures prices for equity indices,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-26 Christof Schmidhuber

A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Li Zhou , Lu Qiu , Changgui Gu , Huijie Yang

Dow Jones Index time series exhibit irregular or fractal fluctuations on all time scales from days, months to years. The nonlinear fluctuations are selfsimilar as exhibited in inverse power law form for power spectra of temporal…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. M. Selvam

In complex systems like financial market, risk tolerance of individuals is crucial for system resilience.The single-security price limit, designed as risk tolerance to protect investors by avoiding sharp price fluctuation, is blamed for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-21 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang

We discuss a simple model based on the Minority Game which reproduces the main stylized facts of anomalous fluctuations in finance. We present the analytic solution of the model in the thermodynamic limit and show that stylized facts arise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Damien Challet , Matteo Marsili

The possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness and incompleteness is investigated for continuous time diffusion stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-31 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We show, by studying in detail the market prices of options on liquid markets, that the market has empirically corrected the simple, but inadequate Black-Scholes formula to account for two important statistical features of asset…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-02-03 Marc Potters , Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We argue that the word ``critical'' in the title is not purely literary. Based on our and other previous work on nonlinear complex dynamical systems, we summarize present evidence, on the Oct. 1929, Oct. 1987, Oct. 1987 Hong-Kong, Aug. 1998…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Anders Johansen , Didier Sornette

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley

Price fluctuations in financial markets can be characterized by L\'evy's stable distribution, which is supported by the generalized central limit system. When the stable parameters were estimated from four different stock markets in long…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-21 Takumi Fukunaga , Ken Umeno

The Stock Market is a complex self-interacting system, characterized by an intermittent behaviour. Periods of high activity alternate with periods of relative calm. In the present work we investigate empirically about the possibility that…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 M. Bartolozzi , D. B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

A methodology is developed to identify, as units of study, each decrease in the value of a stock from a given maximum price level. A critical level in the amount of price declines is found to separate a segment operating under a random walk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-28 Leopoldo Sánchez-Cantú , Carlos Arturo Soto-Campos , Andriy Kryvko

We analyze complexity of financial (and general economic) processes by comparing classical and quantum-like models for randomness. Our analysis implies that it might be that a quantum-like probabilistic description is more natural for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-13 Andrei Khrennikov

Dynamical systems in nature exhibit selfsimilar fractal fluctuations and the corresponding power spectra follow inverse power law form signifying long-range space-time correlations identified as self-organized criticality. The physics of…

General Physics · Physics 2008-05-23 A. M. Selvam

The field of Financial Networks is a paramount example of the novel applications of Statistical Physics that have made possible by the present data revolution. As the total value of the global financial market has vastly outgrown the value…

We investigate the properties of correlation based networks originating from economic complex systems, such as the network of stocks traded at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The weaker links (low correlation) of the system are found to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Antonios Garas , Panos Argyrakis , Shlomo Havlin

Single index financial market models cannot account for the empirically observed complex interactions between shares in a market. We describe a multi-share financial market model and compare characteristics of the volatility, that is the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Adam Ponzi

We consider different levels of complexity which are observed in the empirical investigation of financial time series. We discuss recent empirical and theoretical work showing that statistical properties of financial time series are rather…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Giovanni Bonanno , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sayantan Banerjee , Kousik Guhathakurta

We present an outlook of the studies on correlations in the price timeseries of stocks, discussing the construction and applications of "asset tree". The topic discussed here should illustrate how the complex economic system (financial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Anirban Chakraborti