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Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

The study of complex networks sheds light on the relation between the structure and function of complex systems. One remarkable result is the absence of an epidemic threshold in infinite-size scale-free networks, which implies that any…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-10-08 S. Meloni , A. Arenas , Y. Moreno

Although suppressing the spread of a disease is usually achieved by investing in public resources, in the real world only a small percentage of the population have access to government assistance when there is an outbreak, and most must…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Xiaolong Chen , Ruijie Wang , Ming Tang , Shimin Cai , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

Network epidemic simulation holds the promise of enabling fine-grained understanding of epidemic behavior, beyond that which is possible with coarse-grained compartmental models. Key inputs to these epidemic simulations are the networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Omar Eldaghar , Michael W. Mahoney , David F. Gleich

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-24 Tim Van Wesemael , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan M. Baetens

By generating transient encounters between individuals beyond their immediate social environment, transport can have a profound impact on the spreading of an epidemic. In this work, we consider epidemic dynamics in the presence of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-11-03 Christian Kuehn , Jan Mölter

Comparing with single networks, the multiplex networks bring two main effects on the spreading process among individuals. First, the pathogen or information can be transmitted to more individuals through different layers at one time, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-29 Ming Li , Run-Ran Liu , Dan Peng , Chun-Xiao Jia , Bing-Hong Wang

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-08 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Pierre-André Noël , Vincent Marceau , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

Models of epidemic spreading on complex networks have attracted great attention among researchers in physics, mathematics, and epidemiology due to their success in predicting and controlling scenarios of epidemic spreading in real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-09 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

The science of networks has revolutionised research into the dynamics of interacting elements. It could be argued that epidemiology in particular has embraced the potential of network theory more than any other discipline. Here we review…

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

In this paper we study the interplay between epidemic spreading and risk perception on multiplex networks. The basic idea is that the effective infection probability is affected by the perception of the risk of being infected, which we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-26 Franco Bagnoli , Emanuele Massaro

In recent years the research community has accumulated overwhelming evidence for the emergence of complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns in a wide range of biological and sociotechnical systems. The complex properties of real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-21 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano , Piet Van Mieghem , Alessandro Vespignani

The influence of the network's structure on the dynamics of spreading processes has been extensively studied in the last decade. Important results that partially answer this question show a weak connection between the macroscopic behavior…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Ljupco Kocarev

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

We present the analysis of the interrelation between two processes accounting for the spreading of an epidemics, and the information awareness to prevent its infection, on top of multiplex networks. This scenario is representative of an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-24 Clara Granell , Sergio Gomez , Alex Arenas

We consider an infectious disease spreading along the edges of a network which may have significant clustering. The individuals in the population have heterogeneous infectiousness and/or susceptibility. We define the out-transmissibility of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-01 Joel C. Miller