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Reliable confidence estimation is a challenging yet fundamental requirement in many risk-sensitive applications. However, modern deep neural networks are often overconfident for their incorrect predictions, i.e., misclassified samples from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Fei Zhu , Xu-Yao Zhang , Zhen Cheng , Cheng-Lin Liu

Single time-scale distributed estimation of dynamic systems via a network of sensors/estimators is addressed in this letter. In single time-scale distributed estimation, the two fusion steps, consensus and measurement exchange, are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee , Houman Zarrabi , Usman A. Khan

The one-leg, two-step time-stepping scheme proposed by Dahlquist, Liniger and Nevanlinna has clear advantages in complex, stiff numerical simulations: unconditional $G$-stability for variable time-steps and second-order accuracy. Yet it has…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-24 William Layton , Wenlong Pei , Catalin Trenchea

Consider the problem of simultaneously testing null hypotheses H_1,...,H_s. The usual approach to dealing with the multiplicity problem is to restrict attention to procedures that control the familywise error rate (FWER), the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 E. L. Lehmann , Joseph P. Romano

One-step generative modeling has emerged as a leading approach to amortize the inference cost of diffusion and flow-matching models. Among distillation-free methods, MeanFlow training is notoriously unstable, with non-decreasing loss and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Juanwu Lu , Ziran Wang

In traditional k-fold cross-validation, each instance is used ($k-1$) times for training and once for testing, leading to redundancy that lets many instances disproportionately influence the learning phase. We introduce Irredundant $k$-fold…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Jesus S. Aguilar-Ruiz

The delta method is a popular and elementary tool for deriving limiting distributions of transformed statistics, while applications of asymptotic distributions do not allow one to obtain desirable accuracy of approximation for tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-19 Fuqing Gao , Xingqiu Zhao

Recent advances in statistical theory, together with advances in the computational power of computers, provide alternative methods to do mass-univariate hypothesis testing in which a large number of univariate tests, can be properly used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-27 Seyed Mostafa Kia

Recent advances in generative modeling have led to an increased interest in the study of statistical divergences as means of model comparison. Commonly used evaluation methods, such as the Frechet Inception Distance (FID), correlate well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Mehdi S. M. Sajjadi , Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , Olivier Bousquet , Sylvain Gelly

This study introduces a debiasing method for regression estimators, including high-dimensional and nonparametric regression estimators. For example, nonparametric regression methods allow for the estimation of regression functions in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Masahiro Kato

We propose a new estimation method for the Stable Trait, Auto Regressive Trait, and State (STARTS) model, which is well known for its frequent occurrence of improper solutions. The proposed approach is implemented through a two-stage…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Satoshi Usami

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

A promising way to improve the sample efficiency of reinforcement learning is model-based methods, in which many explorations and evaluations can happen in the learned models to save real-world samples. However, when the learned model has a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Haoxin Lin , Yihao Sun , Jiaji Zhang , Yang Yu

Dynamic discrete choice models often discretize the state vector and restrict its dimension in order to achieve valid inference. I propose a novel two-stage estimator for the set-identified structural parameter that incorporates a…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-07 Vira Semenova

Multidimensional fitting (MDF) method is a multivariate data analysis method recently developed and based on the fitting of distances. Two matrices are available: one contains the coordinates of the points and the second contains the…

Robust methods have been a successful approach to deal with contaminations and noises in image processing. In this paper, we introduce a new robust method for two-dimensional autoregressive models. Our method, called BMM-2D, relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Grisel Maribel Britos , Silvia María Ojeda

This paper studies inference in predictive quantile regressions when the predictive regressor has a near-unit root. We derive asymptotic distributions for the quantile regression estimator and its heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-07 Alex Maynard , Katsumi Shimotsu , Nina Kuriyama

High-dimensional data subject to heavy-tailed phenomena and heterogeneity are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and bring new challenges to the classical statistical methods. In this paper, we combine the asymmetric square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

This paper considers linear panel data models where the dependence of the regressors and the unobservables is modelled through a factor structure. The asymptotic setting is such that the number of time periods and the sample size both go to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Jad Beyhum , Eric Gautier
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