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Various spatiotemporal and network GARCH models have recently been proposed to capture volatility interactions, such as the transmission of market risk across financial networks. These approaches rely heavily on the specification of the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ariane N. Meli Chrisko , Jessie Li , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid

We propose a group model for correlations in stock markets. In the group model the markets are composed of several groups, within which the stock price fluctuations are correlated. The spectral properties of empirical correlation matrices…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jae Dong Noh

The goal of this article is to study how much the eigenvalues of large Hermitian random matrices deviate from certain deterministic locations -- or in other words, to investigate optimal rigidity estimates for the eigenvalues. We do this in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Tom Claeys , Benjamin Fahs , Gaultier Lambert , Christian Webb

This paper examines the applicability of Random Matrix Theory to portfolio management in finance. Starting from a group of normally distributed stochastic processes with given correlations we devise an algorithm for removing noise from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

Time-varying volatility is an inherent feature of most economic time-series, which causes standard correlation estimators to be inconsistent. The quadrant correlation estimator is consistent but very inefficient. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Yiyao Luo

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Li , Ke Yu

Using a time-varying approach, this paper examines the dynamics of volatility in the REIT sector. The results highlight the attractiveness and suitability of using GARCH based approaches in the modeling of daily REIT volatility. The paper…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-29 John Cotter , Simon Stevenson

This paper investigates short-term behaviors of implied volatility of derivatives written on indexes in equity markets when the index processes are constructed by using a ranking procedure. Even in simple market settings where stock prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Huy N. Chau , Duy Nguyen , Thai Nguyen

We introduce the Historical and Dynamic Volatility Ratios (HVR/DVR) and show that equity and index volatilities are cointegrated at intraday and daily horizons. This allows us to construct a VECM to forecast portfolio volatility by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-30 Gabriele Casto

We propose a new approach, termed Realized Risk Measures (RRM), to estimate Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) using high-frequency financial data. It extends the Realized Quantile (RQ) approach proposed by Dimitriadis and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Federico Gatta , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

Recently artificial neural networks (ANNs) have seen success in volatility prediction, but the literature is divided on where an ANN should be used rather than the common GARCH model. The purpose of this study is to compare the volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Curtis Nybo

This paper introduces an innovative realized volatility (RV) forecasting framework that extends the conventional Heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model via integrating Graph Signal Processing (GSP). The study first evaluates various…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Zhengyang Chi , Junbin Gao , Chao Wang

Spectral statistics and correlations are the usual way to study the presence or absence of quantum chaos in quantum systems. We present our investigation on the study of the fluctuation average and variance of certain correlation functions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-11 Tanay Pathak

We propose improved methods to identify stock groups using the correlation matrix of stock price changes. By filtering out the marketwide effect and the random noise, we construct the correlation matrix of stock groups in which nontrivial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Dong-Hee Kim , Hawoong Jeong

We find a novel correlation structure in the residual noise of stock market returns that is remarkably linked to the composition and stability of the top few significant factors driving the returns, and moreover indicates that the noise…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-15 Ivailo I. Dimov , Petter N. Kolm , Lee Maclin , Dan Y. C. Shiber

We study correlations of a set of stocks selected from both the New York and London stock exchanges. Results are displayed using both Random Matrix Theory approach and the graphical visualisation of the Minimal Spanning Tree. For the set of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-10-29 Ricardo Coelho , Peter Richmond , Stefan Hutzler , Brian Lucey

Financial markets are complex adaptive systems characterized by collective behavior and abrupt regime shifts, particularly during crises. This paper studies time-varying dependencies in Nordic equity markets and examines whether…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Maksym A. Girnyk

One of the most important features of capital markets as an adaptive complex networks is their collective behavior. In this paper, we have analyzed the banking sectors of 4 world stock markets,which composed of emerging and matures ones. By…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-05 Hanie. Vahabi , Ali Namaki , Reza Raei

In this paper, we develop a hybrid approach to forecasting the volatility and risk of financial instruments by combining common econometric GARCH time series models with deep learning neural networks. For the latter, we employ Gated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-03 Jakub Michańków , Łukasz Kwiatkowski , Janusz Morajda

In this study, we attempted to determine how eigenvalues change, according to random matrix theory (RMT), in stock market data as the number of stocks comprising the correlation matrix changes. Specifically, we tested for changes in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Cheoljun Eom , Woo-Sung Jung , Taisei Kaizoji , Seunghwan Kim