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Related papers: Bounds on inference

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We present simple, user-friendly bounds for the expected operator norm of a random kernel matrix under general conditions on the kernel function $k(\cdot,\cdot)$. Our approach uses decoupling results for U-statistics and the non-commutative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-07 Chiraag Kaushik , Justin Romberg , Vidya Muthukumar

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

We derive upper bounds on the generalization error of a learning algorithm in terms of the mutual information between its input and output. The bounds provide an information-theoretic understanding of generalization in learning problems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Aolin Xu , Maxim Raginsky

We investigate the in-distribution generalization of machine learning algorithms. We depart from traditional complexity-based approaches by analyzing information-theoretic bounds that quantify the dependence between a learning algorithm and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

We prove a new minimax theorem connecting the worst-case Bayesian regret and minimax regret under partial monitoring with no assumptions on the space of signals or decisions of the adversary. We then generalise the information-theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Tor Lattimore , Csaba Szepesvari

Our goal is to develop theory and algorithms for establishing fundamental limits on performance imposed by a robot's sensors for a given task. In order to achieve this, we define a quantity that captures the amount of task-relevant…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Anirudha Majumdar , Zhiting Mei , Vincent Pacelli

Using fish-covering model, this paper intuitively explains how to extend Hartley's information formula to the generalized information formula step by step for measuring subjective information: metrical information (such as conveyed by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Chenguang Lu

This paper gives upper and lower bounds on the minimum error probability of Bayesian $M$-ary hypothesis testing in terms of the Arimoto-R\'enyi conditional entropy of an arbitrary order $\alpha$. The improved tightness of these bounds over…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-06 Igal Sason , Sergio Verdú

In statistical inference problems, we wish to obtain lower bounds on the minimax risk, that is to bound the performance of any possible estimator. A standard technique to obtain risk lower bounds involves the use of Fano's inequality. In an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-06 Ramji Venkataramanan , Oliver Johnson

In this technical note, we give two extensions of the classical Fano inequality in information theory. The first extends Fano's inequality to the setting of estimation, providing lower bounds on the probability that an estimator of a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-03 John C. Duchi , Martin J. Wainwright

We study data processing inequalities that are derived from a certain class of generalized information measures, where a series of convex functions and multiplicative likelihood ratios are nested alternately. While these information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-09-27 Neri Merhav

Variational inference with a factorized Gaussian posterior estimate is a widely used approach for learning parameters and hidden variables. Empirically, a regularizing effect can be observed that is poorly understood. In this work, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Julius Kunze , Louis Kirsch , Hippolyt Ritter , David Barber

We can perform inference in Bayesian belief networks by enumerating instantiations with high probability thus approximating the marginals. In this paper, we present a method for determining the fraction of instantiations that has to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Enrique F. Castillo , Remco R. Bouckaert , Jose M. Sarabia , Cristina Solares

In this paper, we first describe the generalized notion of Cramer-Rao lower bound obtained by Naudts (2004) using two families of probability density functions, the original model and an escort model. We reinterpret the results in Naudts…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Harsha K , Alladi Subramanyam

Mutual information is fundamentally important for measuring statistical dependence between variables and for quantifying information transfer by signaling and communication mechanisms. It can, however, be challenging to evaluate for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Clive G. Bowsher , Margaritis Voliotis

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

We develop a general framework for conducting inference on the mean of dependent random variables given constraints on their dependency graph. We establish the consistency of an oracle variance estimator of the mean when the dependency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Peter M. Aronow , Forrest W. Crawford , José R. Zubizarreta

Working under a model of privacy in which data remains private even from the statistician, we study the tradeoff between privacy guarantees and the utility of the resulting statistical estimators. We prove bounds on information-theoretic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-28 John C. Duchi , Michael I. Jordan , Martin J. Wainwright

We provide a general constrained risk inequality that applies to arbitrary non-decreasing losses, extending a result of Brown and Low [Ann. Stat. 1996]. Given two distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$, we find a lower bound for the risk of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-17 John C. Duchi , Feng Ruan