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Electricity market operators worldwide use mixed-integer linear programming to solve the allocation problem in wholesale electricity markets. Prices are typically determined based on the duals of relaxed versions of this optimization…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Teodora Dobos , Johannes Knörr

Power grids are moving towards 100% renewable energy source bulk power grids, and the overall dynamics of power system operations and electricity markets are changing. The electricity markets are not only dispatching resources economically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Milan Jain , Xueqing Sun , Sohom Datta , Abhishek Somani

While deep learning gradually penetrates operational planning, its inherent prediction errors may significantly affect electricity prices. This letter examines how prediction errors propagate into electricity prices, revealing notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Ferdinando Fioretto

Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Julia Lin , Derek W. Bunn , Jochen Stiasny , Wentao Wang , Yujie Chen , Tara Esterl , Peter Palensky , Jochen L. Cremer

In the modern power market, electricity trading is an extremely competitive industry. More accurate price forecast is crucial to help electricity producers and traders make better decisions. In this paper, a novel method of convolutional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Hsu-Yung Cheng , Ping-Huan Kuo , Yamin Shen , Chiou-Jye Huang

Electricity price forecasting is an essential task in all the deregulated markets of the world. The accurate prediction of the day-ahead electricity prices is an active research field and available data from various markets can be used as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Salih Gunduz , Umut Ugurlu , Ilkay Oksuz

This paper considers an aggregator of Electric Vehicles (EVs) who aims to learn the aggregate power of his/her fleet while also participating in the electricity market. The proposed approach is based on a data-driven inverse optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-08 Ricardo Fernández-Blanco , Juan Miguel Morales , Salvador Pineda , Álvaro Porras

A study on power market price forecasting by deep learning is presented. As one of the most successful deep learning frameworks, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) neural network is utilized. The hourly prices data from the New England and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Yongli Zhu , Songtao Lu , Renchang Dai , Guangyi Liu , Zhiwei Wang

According to the fundamental theorems of welfare economics, any competitive equilibrium is Pareto efficient. Unfortunately, competitive equilibrium prices only exist under strong assumptions such as perfectly divisible goods and convex…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Johannes Knörr

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a critical role in power system operation and market decision making. While existing review studies have provided valuable insights into forecasting horizons, market mechanisms, and evaluation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Runyao Yu , Derek W. Bunn , Julia Lin , Jochen Stiasny , Fabian Leimgruber , Tara Esterl , Yuchen Tao , Lianlian Qi , Yujie Chen , Wentao Wang , Jochen L. Cremer

In electricity markets, locational marginal price (LMP) forecasting is particularly important for market participants in making reasonable bidding strategies, managing potential trading risks, and supporting efficient system planning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Yuyun Yang , Zhenfei Tan , Haitao Yang , Guangchun Ruan , Haiwang Zhong

The European power grid can be divided into several market areas where the price of electricity is determined in a day-ahead auction. Market participants can provide continuous hourly bid curves and combinatorial bids with associated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Alexander Martin , Johannes C. Müller , Sebastian Pokutta

Short-term electricity markets are becoming more relevant due to less-predictable renewable energy sources, attracting considerable attention from the industry. The balancing market is the closest to real-time and the most volatile among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Ciaran O'Connor , Joseph Collins , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Coordination of distributed energy resources is critical for electricity grid management. Although nodal pricing schemes can mitigate congestion and voltage deviations, the resulting prices are not necessarily equitable. In this work, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Emmanuel Balogun , Sonia Martin , Anthony Degleris , Ram Rajagopal

While the field of electricity price forecasting has benefited from plenty of contributions in the last two decades, it arguably lacks a rigorous approach to evaluating new predictive algorithms. The latter are often compared using unique,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Jesus Lago , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Bart De Schutter , Rafał Weron

The evolution of smart microgrid and its demand-response characteristics not only will change the paradigms of the century-old electric grid but also will shape the electricity market. In this new market scenario, once always energy…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Mosaddek Hossain Kamal Tushar , Chadi Assi
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