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This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett

Clinical decision requires reasoning in the presence of imperfect data. DTs are a well-known decision support tool, owing to their interpretability, fundamental in safety-critical contexts such as medical diagnosis. However, learning DTs…

We develop a supervised machine learning model that detects anomalies in systems in real time. Our model processes unbounded streams of data into time series which then form the basis of a low-latency anomaly detection model. Moreover, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Derek Farren , Thai Pham , Marco Alban-Hidalgo

Experimental data is often affected by uncontrolled variables that make analysis and interpretation difficult. For spatiotemporal systems, this problem is further exacerbated by their intricate dynamics. Modern machine learning methods are…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-16 Peter Y. Lu , Samuel Kim , Marin Soljačić

This paper presents a structure-preserving Bayesian approach for learning nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models allowing for statistically-dependent, vector-valued additive and multiplicative measurement noise.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-23 Nicholas Galioto , Harsh Sharma , Boris Kramer , Alex Arkady Gorodetsky

Predicting bioactivity and physical properties of small molecules is a central challenge in drug discovery. Deep learning is becoming the method of choice but studies to date focus on mean accuracy as the main metric. However, to replace…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-26 Yao Zhang , Alpha A. Lee

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been long considered an ideal, yet unscalable solution for improving the robustness and the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks. While they could capture more accurately the posterior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Gianni Franchi , Andrei Bursuc , Emanuel Aldea , Severine Dubuisson , Isabelle Bloch

Tensor-valued data are being encountered increasingly more commonly, in the biological, natural as well as the social sciences. The learning of the unknown model parameter vector given such data, involves covariance modelling of such data,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

This paper presents a machine learning framework (GP-NODE) for Bayesian systems identification from partial, noisy and irregular observations of nonlinear dynamical systems. The proposed method takes advantage of recent developments in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Paris Perdikaris

The willingness to trust predictions formulated by automatic algorithms is key in a vast number of domains. However, a vast number of deep architectures are only able to formulate predictions without an associated uncertainty. In this…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Matteo Ferrante , Tommaso Boccato , Nicola Toschi

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Efficiently learning mixture of Gaussians is a fundamental problem in statistics and learning theory. Given samples coming from a random one out of k Gaussian distributions in Rn, the learning problem asks to estimate the means and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Rong Ge , Qingqing Huang , Sham M. Kakade

A learning-based safety filter is developed for discrete-time linear time-invariant systems with unknown models subject to Gaussian noises with unknown covariance. Safety is characterized using polytopic constraints on the states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Farhad Farokhi , Alex S. Leong , Mohammad Zamani , Iman Shames

Bayesian neural networks and deep ensembles represent two modern paradigms of uncertainty quantification in deep learning. Yet these approaches struggle to scale mainly due to memory inefficiency issues, since they require parameter storage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Hippolyt Ritter , Martin Kukla , Cheng Zhang , Yingzhen Li

For a large class of feature maps we provide a tight asymptotic characterisation of the test error associated with learning the readout layer, in the high-dimensional limit where the input dimension, hidden layer widths, and number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Dominik Schröder , Daniil Dmitriev , Hugo Cui , Bruno Loureiro

Deep neural networks trained on biased data often inadvertently learn unintended inference rules, particularly when labels are strongly correlated with biased features. Existing bias mitigation methods typically involve either a)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Rajeev Ranjan Dwivedi , Priyadarshini Kumari , Vinod K Kurmi

We develop a framework for estimating unknown partial differential equations from noisy data, using a deep learning approach. Given noisy samples of a solution to an unknown PDE, our method interpolates the samples using a neural network,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Ali Hasan , João M. Pereira , Robert Ravier , Sina Farsiu , Vahid Tarokh

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer probability distributions for model parameters, enabling uncertainty quantification in predictions. However, they often underperform compared to deterministic neural networks. Utilizing mutual learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Cuong Pham , Cuong C. Nguyen , Trung Le , Dinh Phung , Gustavo Carneiro , Thanh-Toan Do

We study online learning when individual instances are corrupted by adversarially chosen random noise. We assume the noise distribution is unknown, and may change over time with no restriction other than having zero mean and bounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Shai Shalev-Shwartz , Ohad Shamir

Deep Bayesian neural network has aroused a great attention in recent years since it combines the benefits of deep neural network and probability theory. Because of this, the network can make predictions and quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Yikuan Li , Yajie Zhu
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