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Stochastic reduced models are an important tool in climate systems whose many spatial and temporal scales cannot be fully discretized or underlying physics may not be fully accounted for. One form of reduced model, the linear inverse model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-29 Dallas Foster , Darin Comeau , Nathan M. Urban

The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Li-Ping Liu , Daniel Sheldon , Thomas G. Dietterich

Reliable 4D aircraft trajectory prediction, whether in a real-time setting or for analysis of counterfactuals, is important to the efficiency of the aviation system. Toward this end, we first propose a highly generalizable efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Yulin Liu , Mark Hansen

Understanding the heterogeneity over spatial locations is an important problem that has been widely studied in many applications such as economics and environmental science. In this paper, we focus on regression models for spatial panel…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Tianyu Pan , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

Reconstructing cosmological initial conditions (ICs) from late-time observations is a difficult task, which relies on the use of computationally expensive simulators alongside sophisticated statistical methods to navigate multi-million…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-22 Oleg Savchenko , Florian List , Guillermo Franco Abellán , Noemi Anau Montel , Christoph Weniger

This paper introduces a new periodic fractional autoregressive process (PFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) to model time series of precipitation evapotranspiration. Compared with the similar model in [\emph{Water Resources…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

GraphSPME is an open source Python, R and C++ header-only package implement-ing non-parametric sparse precision matrix estimation along with asymptotic Stein-type shrinkage estimation of the covariance matrix. The user defines a potential…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-17 Berent Ånund Strømnes Lunde , Feda Curic , Sondre Sortland

We discuss the Gaussian graphical model (GGM; an undirected network of partial correlation coefficients) and detail its utility as an exploratory data analysis tool. The GGM shows which variables predict one-another, allows for sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-09 Sacha Epskamp , Lourens J. Waldorp , René Mõttus , Denny Borsboom

Radio Environment Maps (REMs) are crucial for numerous applications in Telecom. The construction of accurate Radio Environment Maps (REMs) has become an important and challenging topic in recent decades. In this paper, we present a method…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Ali Shibli , Tahar Zanouda

Granger causality (GC) is often considered not an actual form of causality. Still, it is arguably the most widely used method to assess the predictability of a time series from another one. Granger causality has been widely used in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux , Jordi Cerdà , Gustau Camps-Valls

Methods for inference and simulation of linearly constrained Gaussian Markov Random Fields (GMRF) are computationally prohibitive when the number of constraints is large. In some cases, such as for intrinsic GMRFs, they may even be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) has become a central tool for high-resolution structural biology, yet the massive scale of datasets (often exceeding 100k particle images) renders 3D reconstruction both computationally expensive and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Huaizhi Qu , Xiao Wang , Gengwei Zhang , Jie Peng , Tianlong Chen

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

We introduce a new approach to prediction in graphical models with latent-shift adaptation, i.e., where source and target environments differ in the distribution of an unobserved confounding latent variable. Previous work has shown that as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 William I. Walker , Arthur Gretton , Maneesh Sahani

Markov random fields (MRFs) have been widely used as prior models in various inverse problems such as tomographic reconstruction. While MRFs provide a simple and often effective way to model the spatial dependencies in images, they suffer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Ruoqiao Zhang , Dong Hye Ye , Debashish Pal , Jean-Baptiste Thibault , Ken D. Sauer , Charles A. Bouman

Geophysical inversion should ideally produce geologically realistic subsurface models that explain the available data. Multiple-point statistics is a geostatistical approach to construct subsurface models that are consistent with…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-01-09 T. Zahner , T. Lochbühler , G. Mariethoz , N. Linde

Global climate models aim to reproduce physical processes on a global scale and predict quantities such as temperature given some forcing inputs. We consider climate ensembles made of collections of such runs with different initial…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Stefano Castruccio , Michael L. Stein

Dense disparities among multiple views is essential for estimating the 3D architecture of a scene based on the geometrical relationship among the scene and the views or cameras. Scenes with larger extents of heterogeneous textures,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Hanieh Shabanian , Madhusudhanan Balasubramanian

Graph-based methods pervade the inference toolkits of numerous disciplines including sociology, biology, neuroscience, physics, chemistry, and engineering. A challenging problem encountered in this context pertains to determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Daniel Romero , Vassilis N. Ioannidis , Georgios B. Giannakis

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini