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The study of social networks, and in particular the spread of disease on networks, has attracted considerable recent attention in the physics community. In this paper, we show that a large class of standard epidemiological models, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. E. J. Newman

We couple a multi-type stochastic epidemic process with a directed random graph, where edges have random lengths. This random graph representation is used to characterise the fractions of individuals infected by the different types of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , Pieter Trapman

The manner epidemics occurs in a social network depends on various elements, with two of the most influential being the relationships among individuals in the population and the mechanism of transmission. In this paper, we assume that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Francisco J. Muñoz , Luca Meacci , Juan Carlos Nuño , Mario Primicerio

The reconstruction of missing information in epidemic spreading on contact networks can be essential in the prevention and containment strategies. The identification and warning of infectious but asymptomatic individuals (i.e., contact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Indaco Biazzo , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Fabio Mazza

We investigate what structural aspects of a collection of twelve empirical temporal networks of human contacts are important to disease spreading. We scan the entire parameter spaces of the two canonical models of infectious disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-27 Petter Holme , Fredrik Liljeros

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

We propose a new model that describes the dynamics of epidemic spreading on connected graphs. Our model consists in a PDE-ODE system where at each vertex of the graph we have a standard SIR model and connexions between vertices are given by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Christophe Besse , Grégory Faye

We study the susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly subject to having given vertex degrees. In this model infective vertices infect each of their susceptible neighbours, and recover, at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

We study epidemic spreading processes in large networks, when the spread is assisted by a small number of external agents: infection sources with bounded spreading power, but whose movement is unrestricted vis-\`a-vis the underlying network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-15 Siddhartha Banerjee , Aditya Gopalan , Abhik Kumar Das , Sanjay Shakkottai

Mathematical disease modelling has long operated under the assumption that any one infectious disease is caused by one transmissible pathogen spreading among a population. This paradigm has been useful in simplifying the biological reality…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-02 Blake J. M. Williams , Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

We show existence of a non-trivial phase transition for the contact process, a simple model for infection without immunity, on a network which reacts dynamically to the infection trying to prevent an epidemic. This network initially has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 John Fernley , Peter Mörters , Marcel Ortgiese

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

We propose a new paradigm to design a network-based self-adaptive epidemic model that relies on the interplay between the network and its line graph. We implement this proposal on a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model in which both nodes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-03-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi

In the real world, many complex systems interact with other systems. In addition, the intra- or inter-systems for the spread of information about infectious diseases and the transmission of infectious diseases are often not random, but with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-23 Junbo Jia , Zhen Jin , Xinchu Fu

Algorithms for identifying the infection states of nodes in a network are crucial for understanding and containing infections. Often, however, only a relatively small set of nodes have a known infection state. Moreover, the length of time…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-04 Yeon-sup Lim , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley

Many models of virus propagation in Computer Networks inspired by {\bf SIS,SIR,}\\ {\bf SEIR}, etc. epidemic disease propagation mathematical models that can be found in the epidemiology field have been proposed in the last two decades. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Carlos Rodriguez Lucatero

We consider an infectious disease spreading along the edges of a network which may have significant clustering. The individuals in the population have heterogeneous infectiousness and/or susceptibility. We define the out-transmissibility of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-01 Joel C. Miller

When an epidemic spreads into a population, it is often unpractical or impossible to have a continuous monitoring of all subjects involved. As an alternative, algorithmic solutions can be used to infer the state of the whole population from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Abhishek Tomy , Matteo Razzanelli , Francesco Di Lauro , Daniela Rus , Cosimo Della Santina

Contact networks can significantly change the course of epidemics, affecting the rate of new infections and the mean size of an outbreak. Despite this dependence, some characteristics of epidemics are not contingent on the contact network…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alexander Gutfraind