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We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

This article presents an algorithm that allows modeling of biological networks in a qualitative framework with continuous time. Mathematical modeling is used as a systems biology tool to answer biological questions, and more precisely, to…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-30 Gautier Stoll , Eric Viara , Emmanuel Barillot , Laurence Calzone

We study a class of multi-stage stochastic programs, which incorporate modeling features from Markov decision processes (MDPs). This class includes structured MDPs with continuous action and state spaces. We extend policy graphs to include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 David P. Morton , Oscar Dowson , Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli

In the infectious disease literature, significant effort has been devoted to studying dynamics at a single scale. For example, compartmental models describing population-level dynamics are often formulated using differential equations. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-16 Yuan Yin , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson

It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-11 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

In this study we derive the governing equations for mesoscopic collective activity in the cortex, starting from the generic Hodgkin-Huxley equations for microscopic cell dynamics. For simplicity, and to maintain focus on the essential…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-07 Yu Qin , Alex Sheremet

In this paper we propose a model for open Markov chains that can be interpreted as a system of non-interacting particles evolving according to the rules of a Markov chain. The number of particles in the system is not constant, because we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 R. Salgado-Garcia

A Markov evolution of a system of point particles in $\mathbb{R}^d$ is described at micro-and mesoscopic levels. The particles reproduce themselves at distant points (dispersal) and die, independently and under the influence of each other…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Yuri Kozitsky , Oleksandr Kutoviy

Rheological responses are the most relevant features to describe soft matter. So far, such constitutive relations are still not well understood in terms of small scale properties, although this knowledge would help the design of synthetic…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-08-12 J. L. B. de Araujo , J. S. de Sousa , W. P. Ferreira , C. L. N. Oliveira

When clustering molecular dynamics (MD) trajectories into a few metastable conformational states, the Markov state models (MSMs) assumption of timescale separation between fast intrastate fluctuations and rarely occurring interstate…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-01-17 Sofia Sartore , Franziska Teichmann , Gerhard Stock

Understanding the fluctuations by which phenomenological evolution equations with thermodynamic structure can be enhanced is the key to a general framework of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. These fluctuations provide an idealized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Hans Christian Öttinger , Mark A. Peletier , Alberto Montefusco

We propose a numerical technique for parameter inference in Markov models of biological processes. Based on time-series data of a process we estimate the kinetic rate constants by maximizing the likelihood of the data. The computation of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , David Spieler , Verena Wolf

We introduce a numerical method to sample the distributions of charge, heat, and entropy production in open quantum systems coupled strongly to macroscopic reservoirs, with both temporal and energy resolution and beyond the linear-response…

Predictability of behavior has emerged an an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, and marketing. Behavior can be recorded as a sequence of actions performed by an individual over a given time period. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Brian Vegetabile , Jenny Molet , Tallie Z. Baram , Hal Stern

We give a review of the current state of the art of data-driven modelling of the inositol trisphosphate receptor (IPR). After explaining that the IPR plays a crucial role as a central regulator in calcium dynamics, several sources of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-23 Ivo Siekmann , Pengxing Cao , James Sneyd , Edmund J. Crampin

We discuss general thermodynamic properties of molecular structure formation processes like protein folding by means of simplified, coarse-grained models. The conformational transitions accompanying these processes exhibit similarities to…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-07-04 Michael Bachmann

The consistency across scales of a recently developed mathematical thermodynamic structure, between a continuous stochastic nonlinear dynamical system (diffusion process with Langevin or Fokker-Planck equations) and its emergent discrete,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Moises Santillan , Hong Qian

We recently proposed a dynamical mesoscopic model for DNA, which is based, like statistical ones, on site-dependent finite stacking and pairing enthalpies. In the present article, we first describe how the parameters of this model are…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-01-14 Marc Joyeux , Ana-Maria Florescu

Molecular dynamics is a valuable tool to probe biological processes at the atomistic level - a resolution often elusive to experiments. However, the credibility of molecular models is limited by the accuracy of the underlying force field,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Vojtech Kostal , Brennon L. Shanks , Pavel Jungwirth , Hector Martinez-Seara