English
Related papers

Related papers: Efficient goodness-of-fit tests in multi-dimension…

200 papers

Consider an observation of a multivariate temporal point process $N$ with law $\mathcal P$ on the time interval $[0,T]$. To test the null hypothesis that $\mathcal P$ belongs to a given parametric family, we construct a convergent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Justin Baars , Sami Umut Can , Roger J. A. Laeven

A novel goodness-of-fit strategy is introduced for testing models of angular power spectra with unknown parameters. Using this strategy, it is possible to assess the validity of such models without specifying the distribution of the angular…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-01-30 Sara Algeri , Xiangyu Zhang , Erik Floden , Hongru Zhao , Galin L. Jones , Vuk Mandic , Jesse Miller

The problem of testing changes in covariance has received increasing attention in recent years, especially in the context of high-dimensional testing. A number of approaches have been proposed, all limited to the two-sample problem and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-06 Yi-Hui Zhou

We propose a new and rather stringent criterion for testing the goodness of fit between a theory and experiment. It is motivated by the paradox that the criterion on \chi^2 for testing a theory is much weaker than the criterion for finding…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Collins , J. Pumplin

Calibration tests based on the probability integral transform (PIT) are routinely used to assess the quality of univariate distributional forecasts. However, PIT-based calibration tests for multivariate distributional forecasts face various…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-13 Malte Knüppel , Fabian Krüger , Marc-Oliver Pohle

The problem of assessing a parametric regression model in the presence of spatial correlation is addressed in this work. For that purpose, a goodness-of-fit test based on a $L_2$-distance comparing a parametric and a nonparametric…

Selecting the number of regimes in Hidden Markov models is an important problem. There are many criteria that are used to select this number, such as Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC), integrated…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Bouchra R Nasri , Bruno N Rémillard , Mamadou Y Thioub

Goodness-of-fit tests based on the Euclidean distance often outperform chi-square and other classical tests (including the standard exact tests) by at least an order of magnitude when the model being tested for goodness-of-fit is a discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

Deciding whether a model provides a good description of data is often based on a goodness-of-fit criterion summarized by a p-value. Although there is considerable confusion concerning the meaning of p-values, leading to their misuse, they…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell , Daniel Kollar , Kevin Kroeninger

We develop a general statistical framework for the analysis and inference of large tree-structured data, with a focus on developing asymptotic goodness-of-fit tests. We first propose a consistent statistical model for binary trees, from…

Performance of classifiers is often measured in terms of average accuracy on test data. Despite being a standard measure, average accuracy fails in characterizing the fit of the model to the underlying conditional law of labels given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Adel Javanmard , Mohammad Mehrabi

We construct Bayesian and frequentist finite-sample goodness-of-fit tests for three different variants of the stochastic blockmodel for network data. Since all of the stochastic blockmodel variants are log-linear in form when block…

In conditional copula models, the copula parameter is deterministically linked to a covariate via the calibration function. The latter is of central interest for inference and is usually estimated nonparametrically. However, when a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Elif F. Acar , Radu V. Craiu , Fang Yao

Systems subject to uncertain inputs produce uncertain responses. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) deals with the estimation of statistics of the system response, given a computational model of the system and a probabilistic model of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

This paper proposes several tests of restricted specification in nonparametric instrumental regression. Based on series estimators, test statistics are established that allow for tests of the general model against a parametric or…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-24 Christoph Breunig

The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we provide a novel characterization of independence of random vectors based on the checkerboard approximation to a multivariate copula. Using this result, we then propose a new family of tests of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 José M. González-Barrios , Eduardo Gutiérrez-Peña , Juan D. Nieves , Raúl Rueda

Observables in particle physics and specifically in lattice QCD calculations are often extracted from fits. Standard $\chi^2$ tests require a reliable determination of the covariance matrix and its inverse from correlated and…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-03-21 Mattia Bruno , Rainer Sommer

We present a review of several results concerning the construction of the Cramer-von Mises and Kolmogorov-Smirnov type goodness-of-fit tests for continuous time processes. As the models we take a stochastic differential equation with small…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

Linear mixed effects models (LMMs) are a popular and powerful tool for analyzing clustered or repeated observations for numeric outcomes. LMMs consist of a fixed and a random component, specified in the model through their respective design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Nataša Kejžar

Goodness-of-Fit tests, including Smooth ones, are introduced and applied to detect non-Gaussianity in Cosmic Microwave Background simulations. We study the power of three different tests: the Shapiro-Francia test (1972), the uncategorised…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Cayon , F. Argueso , E. Martinez-Gonzalez , J. L. Sanz