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We introduce a new statistical test based on the observed spacings of ordered data. The statistic is sensitive to detect non-uniformity in random samples, or short-lived features in event time series. Under some conditions, this new test…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Philipp Eller , Lolian Shtembari

We introduce tests for the goodness of fit of point patterns via methods from topological data analysis. More precisely, the persistent Betti numbers give rise to a bivariate functional summary statistic for observed point patterns that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio , Nicolas Chenavier , Christian Hirsch , Anne Marie Svane

In the last decade, simplified vine copula models have been an active area of research. They build a high dimensional probability density from the product of marginals densities and bivariate copula densities. Besides parametric models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Thomas Nagler , Christian Schellhase , Claudia Czado

Record is used to reduce the time and cost of running experiments (Doostparast and Balakrishnan, 2010). It is important to check the adequacy of models upon which inferences or actions are based (Lawless, 2003, Chapter 10, p. 465). In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Mahdi Doostparast

We derive a new discrepancy statistic for measuring differences between two probability distributions based on combining Stein's identity with the reproducing kernel Hilbert space theory. We apply our result to test how well a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-04 Qiang Liu , Jason D. Lee , Michael I. Jordan

We propose to use nonparametric Bernstein copulas as bivariate pair-copulas in high-dimensional vine models. The resulting smooth and nonparametric vine copulas completely obviate the error-prone need for choosing the pair-copulas from…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-09 Gregor Weiß , Marcus Scheffer

In this work we propose a framework for constructing goodness of fit tests in both low and high-dimensional linear models. We advocate applying regression methods to the scaled residuals following either an ordinary least squares or Lasso…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Rajen D. Shah , Peter Bühlmann

Simplified vine copulas (SVCs), or pair-copula constructions, have become an important tool in high-dimensional dependence modeling. So far, specification and estimation of SVCs has been conducted under the simplifying assumption, i.e., all…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-11 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

We consider goodness-of-fit tests with i.i.d. samples generated from a categorical distribution $(p_1,...,p_k)$. For a given $(q_1,...,q_k)$, we test the null hypothesis whether $p_j=q_{\pi(j)}$ for some label permutation $\pi$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Chao Gao

We propose vine copula-based classifiers for probabilistic risk prediction in perioperative settings. We obtain full joint probability models for mixed continuous-ordinal variables by fitting a separate vine copula to each outcome class,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Özge Şahin

Goodness-of-fit testing is often criticized for its lack of practical relevance: since ``all models are wrong'', the null hypothesis that the data conform to our model is ultimately always rejected as the sample size grows. Despite this,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Xing Liu , François-Xavier Briol

Log-linear models are widely used to express the association in multivariate frequency data on contingency tables. The paper focuses on the power analysis for testing the goodness-of-fit hypothesis for this model type. Conventionally, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Anna Klimova

The classic chi-squared statistic for testing goodness-of-fit has long been a cornerstone of modern statistical practice. The statistic consists of a sum in which each summand involves division by the probability associated with the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

Regular vine sequences permit the organisation of variables in a random vector along a sequence of trees. Regular vine models have become greatly popular in dependence modelling as a way to combine arbitrary bivariate copulas into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Anna Kiriliouk , Jeongjin Lee , Johan Segers

Classical tests of goodness-of-fit aim to validate the conformity of a postulated model to the data under study. Given their inferential nature, they can be considered a crucial step in confirmatory data analysis. In their standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , Xiangyu Zhang

Using the fact that some depth functions characterize certain family of distribution functions, and under some mild conditions, distribution of the depth is continuous, we have constructed several new multivariate goodness of fit tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Rahul Singh , Subhajit Dutta , Neeraj Misra

We propose a class of dynamic vine copula models. This is an extension of static vine copulas and a generalization of dynamic C-vine and D-vine copulas studied by Almeida et al (2016) and Goel and Mehra (2019). Within this class, we allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

Model misspecification can create significant challenges for the implementation of probabilistic models, and this has led to development of a range of robust methods which directly account for this issue. However, whether these more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Oscar Key , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol , Tamara Fernandez

We consider the goodness of fit testing problem for linear stochastic differential equation (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process). The basic hypothesis is supposed to be composite with two-dimensional unknown parameter. We study two goodness of fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 Yury A. Kutoyants

In this work, a goodness-of-fit test for the null hypothesis of a functional linear model with scalar response is proposed. The test is based on a generalization to the functional framework of a previous one, designed for the…

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