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We consider the problem of quickest change detection (QCD) in a signal where its observations are obtained using a set of actions, and switching from one action to another comes with a cost. The objective is to design a stopping rule…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

In this paper, the problem of quickly detecting an abrupt change on a stochastic process under Bayesian framework is considered. Different from the classic Bayesian quickest change-point detection problem, this paper considers the case…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-24 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

We consider the problem of quickest changepoint detection under the Average Run Length (ARL) constraint where the pre-change and post-change laws lie in composite families $\mathscr{P}$ and $\mathscr{Q}$ respectively. In such a problem, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Ashwin Ram , Aaditya Ramdas

Bayesian optimization is a popular framework for efficiently tackling black-box search problems. As a rule, these algorithms operate by iteratively choosing what to evaluate next until some predefined budget has been exhausted. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-12 James T. Wilson

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

The problem of sequentially detecting a moving anomaly which affects different parts of a sensor network with time is studied. Each network sensor is characterized by a non-anomalous and anomalous distribution, governing the generation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Georgios Rovatsos , George V. Moustakides , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Detecting abrupt changes in data streams is crucial because they are often triggered by events that have important consequences if left unattended. Quickest change point detection has become a vital sequential analysis primitive that aims…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Marco Fanizza , Christoph Hirche , John Calsamiglia

We consider a small extent sensor network for event detection, in which nodes take samples periodically and then contend over a {\em random access network} to transmit their measurement packets to the fusion center. We consider two…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Premkumar Karumbu , Venkata K. Prasanthi M. , Anurag Kumar

New problems arise when the standard theory of joint detection and estimation is applied to a set of signals drawn from a continuous family; decision thresholds must be determined as a function of the continuous parameter x characterizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-17 D. Michael Milder , Robert G. Lindgren , Morris M. Berman

Minimum Bayes-risk (MBR) decoding has recently gained renewed attention in text generation. MBR decoding considers texts sampled from a model as pseudo-references and selects the text with the highest similarity to the others. Therefore,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Atsumoto Ohashi , Ukyo Honda , Tetsuro Morimura , Yuu Jinnai

Optimal control in non-stationary Markov decision processes (MDP) is a challenging problem. The aim in such a control problem is to maximize the long-term discounted reward when the transition dynamics or the reward function can change over…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-03 Taposh Banerjee , Miao Liu , Jonathan P. How

In fixed-confidence best arm identification (BAI), the objective is to quickly identify the optimal option while controlling the probability of error below a desired threshold. Despite the plethora of BAI algorithms, existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Brian M. Cho , Nathan Kallus

This paper considers a sequence of random variables generated according to a common distribution. The distribution might undergo periods of transient changes at an unknown set of time instants, referred to as change-points. The objective is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Javad Heydari , Ali Tajer

This work examines the problem of sequential detection of a change in the drift of a Brownian motion in the case of two-sided alternatives. Applications to real life situations in which two-sided changes can occur are discussed.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Olympia Hadjiliadis , H. Vincent Poor

We consider the problem of detecting a `bump' in the intensity of a Poisson process or in a density. We analyze two types of likelihood ratio based statistics which allow for exact finite sample inference and asymptotically optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Camilo Rivera , Guenther Walther

Stochastic sampling based trackers have shown good performance for abrupt motion tracking so that they have gained popularity in recent years. However, conventional methods tend to use a two-stage sampling paradigm, in which the search…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Tianfei Zhou , Yao Lu , Feng Lv , Huijun Di , Qingjie Zhao , Jian Zhang

We consider a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed and the prior distribution of the change point is arbitrary,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We propose an open loop methodology based on sample statistics to solve chance constrained stochastic optimal control problems with probabilistic safety guarantees for linear systems where the additive Gaussian noise has unknown mean and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

Within a Bayesian decision theoretic framework we investigate some asymptotic optimality properties of a large class of multiple testing rules. A parametric setup is considered, in which observations come from a normal scale mixture model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Małgorzata Bogdan , Arijit Chakrabarti , Florian Frommlet , Jayanta K. Ghosh

Algorithms are developed for the quickest detection of a change in statistically periodic processes. These are processes in which the statistical properties are nonstationary but repeat after a fixed time interval. It is assumed that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yousef Oleyaeimotlagh , Taposh Banerjee , Ahmad Taha , Eugene John