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The market events of 2007-2009 have reinvigorated the search for realistic return models that capture greater likelihoods of extreme movements. In this paper we model the medium-term log-return dynamics in a market with both fundamental and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-31 William T. Shaw

The optimization of high dimensional functions is a key issue in engineering problems but it frequently comes at a cost that is not acceptable since it usually involves a complex and expensive computer code. Engineers often overcome this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-18 Adrien Spagnol , Rodolphe Le Riche , Sebastien Da Veiga

This paper introduces a jump-diffusion pricing model specifically designed for algorithmic trading and high-frequency trading (HFT). The model incorporates independent jump and diffusion processes, providing a more precise representation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-05 Luca Lalor , Anatoliy Swishchuk

We consider high dimensional random optimization problems where the dynamical variables are subjected to non-convex excluded volume constraints. We focus on the case in which the cost function is a simple quadratic cost and the excluded…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-03-14 Antonio Sclocchi , Pierfrancesco Urbani

In active perception tasks, an agent aims to select sensory actions that reduce its uncertainty about one or more hidden variables. While partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide a natural model for such problems,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Yash Satsangi , Shimon Whiteson , Frans A. Oliehoek , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

This paper studies continuous-time stochastic control problems whose controlled states are fully non-Markovian and depend on unknown model parameters. Such problems arise naturally in path-dependent stochastic differential equations,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Simone Scotti , Adolfo M. D da Silva

This article provides a simple explanation of the asymptotic concavity of the price impact of a meta-order via the microstructural properties of the market. This explanation is made more precise by a model in which the local relationship…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Sergey Nadtochiy

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

We propose universal randomized function approximation-based empirical value iteration (EVI) algorithms for Markov decision processes. The `empirical' nature comes from each iteration being done empirically from samples available from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-25 William B. Haskell , Rahul Jain , Hiteshi Sharma , Pengqian Yu

We consider the pricing of derivatives written on accumulated marks, such as weather derivatives or aggregate loss claims, using a self-exciting marked point process. The jump intensity mean-reverts between events and increases at jump…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Aqib Ahmed , Heiðar Eyjólfsson

This work addresses the problem of pricing American basket options in a multivariate setting, which includes among others, the Bachelier and the Black-Scholes models. In high dimensions, nonlinear partial differential equation methods for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-05 Christian Bayer , Juho Häppölä , Raúl Tempone

The author seeks to develop a model to alter the bid-offer spread, currently quoted by market makers, that varies with the market and trading conditions. The dynamic nature of financial markets and trading, as with the rest of social…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-03 Ravi Kashyap

One of the most fundamental questions in quantitative finance is the existence of continuous-time diffusion models that fit market prices of a given set of options. Traditionally, one employs a mix of intuition, theoretical and empirical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-09 Nelson Vadori

A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time $t$, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time $t-1$ to its own trading volume at its last trade.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-03 F. Ren , B. Zheng , P. Chen

In this paper we introduce a completely continuous and time-variate model of the evolution of market limit orders based on the existence, uniqueness, and regularity of the solutions to a type of stochastic partial differential equations…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-29 Zhi Zheng , Richard B. Sowers

We provide a new algorithm for solving Risk Sensitive Partially Observable Markov Decisions Processes, when the risk is modeled by a utility function, and both the state space and the space of observations is finite. This algorithm is based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Arsham Afsardeir , Andreas Kapetanis , Vaios Laschos , Klaus Obermayer

In this paper we apply Markovian approximation of the fractional Brownian motion (BM), known as the Dobric-Ojeda (DO) process, to the fractional stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous variance is modelled by a lognormal process…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-22 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin

Market makers continuously set bid and ask quotes for the stocks they have under consideration. Hence they face a complex optimization problem in which their return, based on the bid-ask spread they quote and the frequency at which they…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Olivier Guéant , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Joaquin Fernandez Tapia

We consider the problem of maximizing expected utility for a power investor who can allocate his wealth in a stock, a defaultable security, and a money market account. The dynamics of these security prices are governed by geometric Brownian…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Agostino Capponi , Jose Enrique Figueroa Lopez , Andrea Pascucci

Financial markets are a source of non-stationary multidimensional time series which has been drawing attention for decades. Each financial instrument has its specific changing-over-time properties, making its analysis a complex task. Hence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Artur Sokolovsky , Luca Arnaboldi , Jaume Bacardit , Thomas Gross