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This paper proposes to use a rather new modelling approach in the realm of solar radiation forecasting. In this work, two forecasting models: Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Neural Network (NN) models are combined to form a model…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-27 Philippe Lauret , Auline Rodler , Marc Muselli , Mathieu David , Hadja Diagne , Cyril Voyant

Considering the grid manager's point of view, needs in terms of prediction of intermittent energy like the photovoltaic resource can be distinguished according to the considered horizon: following days (d+1, d+2 and d+3), next day by hourly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-24 Cyril Voyant , Christophe Paoli , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet

We propose in this paper an original technique to predict global radiation using a hybrid ARMA/ANN model and data issued from a numerical weather prediction model (ALADIN). We particularly look at the Multi-Layer Perceptron. After…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-01-10 Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

The renewable energies prediction and particularly global radiation forecasting is a challenge studied by a growing number of research teams. This paper proposes an original technique to model the insolation time series based on combining…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

In this paper, we present an application of neural networks in the renewable energy domain. We have developed a methodology for the daily prediction of global solar radiation on a horizontal surface. We use an ad-hoc time series…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-06-02 Christophe Paoli , Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Marie-Laure Nivet

The increasing demand for electricity and the need for clean energy sources have increased solar energy use. Accurate forecasts of solar energy are required for easy management of the grid. This paper compares the accuracy of two Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-13 Edina Chandiwana , Caston Sigauke , Alphonce Bere

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

The output of solar power generation is significantly dependent on the available solar radiation. Thus, with the proliferation of PV generation in the modern power grid, forecasting of solar irradiance is vital for proper operation of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-05 Kwasi Opoku , Svetlana Lucemo , Qun Zhou Sun , Aleksandar Dimitrovski

Smooth power generation from solar stations demand accurate, reliable and efficient forecast of solar energy for optimal integration to cater market demand; however, the implicit instability of solar energy production may cause serious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Farah Shahid , Aneela Zameer , Mudasser Afzal , Muhammad Hassan

Presented is a new generation prediction model of a tubular solar still (TSS) productivity utilizing two machine learning (ML) techniques, namely:Random forest (RF) and Artificial neural network (ANN). Prediction models were conducted based…

The advancement of distributed generation technologies in modern power systems has led to a widespread integration of renewable power generation at customer side. However, the intermittent nature of renewable energy poses new challenges to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Devinder Kaur , Shama Naz Islam , Md. Apel Mahmud , Md. Enamul Haque , Adnan Anwar

We propose a forecasting approach for solar flares based on data from Solar Cycle 24, taken by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) mission. In particular, we use the Space-weather HMI…

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

In this investigation, we propose several algorithms to recover the location and intensity of a radiation source located in a simulated 250 m x 180 m block in an urban center based on synthetic measurements. Radioactive decay and detection…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-05 Razvan Stefanescu , Kathleen Schmidt , Jason Hite , Ralph Smith , John Mattingly

The use of solar photovoltaics (PV) energy provides additional resources to the electric power grid. The downside of this integration is that the solar power supply is unreliable and highly dependent on the weather condition. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-20 S. Sarp , M. Kuzlu , U. Cali , O. Elma , O. Guler

Predicting the short-term power output of a photovoltaic panel is an important task for the efficient management of smart grids. Short-term forecasting at the minute scale, also known as nowcasting, can benefit from sky images captured by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Jinsong Zhang , Rodrigo Verschae , Shohei Nobuhara , Jean-François Lalonde

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

Solar radio bursts (SRBs), are emitted by electrons propagating through the corona and interplanetary space. Tracking such bursts is key to understanding the properties of accelerated electrons and radio wave propagation as well as the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-14 L. A. Cañizares , S. T. Badman , S. A. Maloney , M. J. Owens , D. M. Weigt , E. P. Carley , P. T. Gallagher
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