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The problem is a power-law asymptotics of the probability that a self-similar process does not exceed a fixed level during long time. The exponent in such asymptotics is estimated for some Gaussian processes, including the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-13 George Molchan

Be $X_t$ a random process starting at $x \in [0,1]$ with absorbing boundary conditions at both ends of the interval. Denote $P_1(x)$ the probability to first exit at the upper boundary. For Brownian motion, $P_1(x)=x$, equivalent to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-13 Kay Joerg Wiese

This paper derives an exact asymptotic expression for \[ \mathbb{P}_{\mathbf{x}_u}\{\exists_{t\ge0} \mathbf{X}(t)- \boldsymbol{\mu}t\in \mathcal{U} \}, \ \ {\rm as}\ \ u\to\infty, \] where $\mathbf{X}(t)=(X_1(t),\ldots,X_d(t))^\top,t\ge0$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

Let X_t be a subordinate Brownian motion, and suppose that the Levy measure of the underlying subordinator has completely monotone density. Under very mild conditions, we find integral formulae for the tail distribution P(\tau_x > t) of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Mateusz Kwasnicki , Jacek Malecki , Michal Ryznar

Let $\{X(t),t\ge0\}$ be a centered Gaussian process and let $\gamma$ be a non-negative constant. In this paper we study the asymptotics of $P\{\underset{t\in [0,\mathcal{T}/u^\gamma]}\sup X(t)>u\}$ as $u\to\infty$, with $\mathcal{T}$ an…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We consider the sum of two self-similar centred Gaussian processes with different self-similarity indices. Under non-negativity assumptions of covariance functions and some further minor conditions, we show that the asymptotic behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kilian , Ercan Sönmez

For drifted Brownian motion $X(t)= x - \mu t + B_t \ (\mu >0)$ starting from $x>0,$ we study the joint distribution of the first-passage time below zero, $\tau(x),$ and the first-passage area, $A(x),$ swept out by $X$ till the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Mario Abundo , Danilo Del Vescovo

Let X be some homogeneous additive functional of a skew Bessel process Y. In this note, we compute the asymptotics of the first passage time of X to some fixed level b, and study the position of Y when X exits a bounded interval [a, b]. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Christophe Profeta

We study the long-time asymptotics of the probability P_t that the Riemann-Liouville fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H does not escape from a fixed interval [-L,L] up to time t. We show that for any H \in ]0,1], for both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-01-07 G. Oshanin

We study the first passage statistics to adsorbing boundaries of a Brownian motion in bounded two-dimensional domains of different shapes and configurations of the adsorbing and reflecting boundaries. From extensive numerical analysis we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-30 Thiago G. Mattos , Carlos Mejía-Monasterio , Ralf Metzler , Gleb S. Oshanin

We consider random walks with independent but not necessarily identical distributed increments. Assuming that the increments satisfy the well-known Lindeberg condition, we investigate the asymptotic behaviour of first-passage times over…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Denis Denisov , Alexander Sakhanenko , Vitali Wachtel

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a random process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For a given positive constant $u$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $C_r(u):=\{t\in[0,1]: X_{r:n}(t)>u\}$ with $ X_{r:n}$ the $r$th largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Chengxiu Ling

We study the survival probability and the corresponding first passage time density of fractional Brownian motion confined to a two-dimensional open wedge domain with absorbing boundaries. By analytical arguments and numerical simulation we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 J. -H. Jeon , A. V. Chechkin , R. Metzler

The paper addresses Brownian motion in the logarithmic potential with time-dependent strength, $U(x,t) = g(t) \log(x)$, subject to the absorbing boundary at the origin of coordinates. Such model can represent kinetics of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-29 Artem Ryabov , Ekaterina Berestneva , Viktor Holubec

We consider the integral of fractional Brownian motion (IFBM) and its functionals $\xi_T$ on the intervals $(0,T)$ and $(-T,T)$ of the following types: the maximum $M_T$, the position of the maximum, the occupation time above zero etc. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. M. Molchan , A. V. Khokhlov

In this contribution we are concerned with the asymptotic behaviour as $u\to \infty$ of $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in [0,T]} X_u(t)> u\}$, where $X_u(t),t\in [0,T],u>0$ is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 L. Bai , K. Debicki , E. Hashorva , L. Ji

The classical inverse first passage time problem asks whether, for a Brownian motion $(B_t)_{t\geq 0}$ and a positive random variable $\xi$, there exists a barrier $b:\mathbb{R}_+\to\mathbb{R}$ such that $\mathbb{P}\{B_s>b(s), 0\leq s \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Boris Ettinger , Alexandru Hening , Tak Kwong Wong

This paper investigates $\pi_T(a_1,a_2) = \mathbb{P}\left(\sup\limits_{t\in[0,T]} (\sigma_1B(t)-c_1t)>a_1, \sup\limits_{t\in[0,T]}( \sigma_2 B(t)-c_2t)>a_2\right),$ where $\{B(t) : t \geq 0\}$ is a standard Brownian motion, with $T >0,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

Let $B_{H}(t), t\geq [0,T], T\in(0,\infty)$ be the standard Multifractional Brownian Motion(mBm), in this contribution we are concerned with the exact asymptotics of \begin{eqnarray*} \mathbb{P}\left\{\sup_{t\in[0,T]}B_{H}(t)>u\right\}…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Long Bai

We derive the exact asymptotics of \[ P\left( \sup_{t\ge 0} \Bigl( X_1(t) - \mu_1 t\Bigr)> u, \ \sup_{s\ge 0} \Bigl( X_2(s) - \mu_2 s\Bigr)> u \right), \ \ u\to\infty, \] where $(X_1(t),X_2(s))_{t,s\ge0}$ is a correlated two-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski
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