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Interpretability research often aims to predict how a model will respond to targeted interventions on specific mechanisms. However, it rarely predicts how a model will respond to unseen input data. This paper explores the promises and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Victoria R. Li , Jenny Kaufmann , Martin Wattenberg , David Alvarez-Melis , Naomi Saphra

Goods, styles, ideologies are adopted by society through various mechanisms. In particular, adoption driven by innovation is extensively studied by marketing economics. Mathematical models are currently used to forecast the sales of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-02 Baptiste Coulmont , Virginie Supervie , Romulus Breban

In this text, we study the temporal behavior of markets using models expressible as ordinary differential equations. The markets studied are those where each customer buys only one copy of the good, for example, subscription of smartphone…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-24 Jan A. Audestad

Diffusion models are a new class of generative models that have recently been applied to speech enhancement successfully. Previous works have demonstrated their superior performance in mismatched conditions compared to state-of-the art…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-10 Philippe Gonzalez , Zheng-Hua Tan , Jan Østergaard , Jesper Jensen , Tommy Sonne Alstrøm , Tobias May

In this work, we offer a thorough analytical investigation into the role of shared hyperparameters in a hierarchical Bayesian model, examining their impact on information borrowing and posterior inference. Our approach is rooted in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Prasenjit Ghosh , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

We consider a decision maker who must choose an action in order to maximize a reward function that depends also on an unknown parameter {\Theta}. The decision maker can delay taking the action in order to experiment and gather additional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-22 Victor F. Araman , Rene Caldentey

A new microeconomic model is presented that aims at a description of the long-term unit sales and price evolution of homogeneous non-durable goods in polypoly markets. It merges the product lifecycle approach with the price dispersion…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-28 Joachim Kaldasch

It is of high interest for a company to identify customers expected to bring the largest profit in the upcoming period. Knowing as much as possible about each customer is crucial for such predictions. However, their demographic data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Jelena Stojanovic , Djordje Gligorijevic , Zoran Obradovic

Recommender Systems have proliferated as general-purpose approaches to model a wide variety of consumer interaction data. Specific instances make use of signals ranging from user feedback, item relationships, geographic locality, social…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-08-31 Wang-Cheng Kang , Mengting Wan , Julian McAuley

Recommender systems, inferring users' preferences from their historical activities and personal profiles, have been an enormous success in the last several years. Most of the existing works are based on the similarities of users, objects or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-29 Xiaofang Deng , Leilei Wu , Xiaolong Ren , Chunxiao Jia , Yuansheng Zhong , Linyuan Lü

Conditional diffusion models are powerful generative models that can leverage various types of conditional information, such as class labels, segmentation masks, or text captions. However, in many real-world scenarios, conditional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Nicolas Dufour , Victor Besnier , Vicky Kalogeiton , David Picard

Label spreading is a general technique for semi-supervised learning with point cloud or network data, which can be interpreted as a diffusion of labels on a graph. While there are many variants of label spreading, nearly all of them are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Francesco Tudisco , Austin R. Benson , Konstantin Prokopchik

Customer behavior is often assumed to follow weak rationality, which implies that adding a product to an assortment will not increase the choice probability of another product in that assortment. However, an increasing amount of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Yi-Chun Chen , Velibor V. Mišić

In a multi-channel marketing world, the purchase decision journey encounters many interactions (e.g., email, mobile notifications, display advertising, social media, and so on). These impressions have direct (main effects), as well as…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-01 Ritwik Sinha , David Arbour , Aahlad Manas Puli

This paper investigates an optimal control problem for an adoption-opinion model that couples opinion dynamics with a compartmental adoption framework on a multilayer network to study the diffusion of sustainable behaviors. Adoption evolves…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-26 Martina Alutto , Qiulin Xu , Fabrizio Dabbene , Hideaki Ishii , Chiara Ravazzi

Using a mean-field network formulation of the Bass innovation diffusion model and exact results by Fotouhi and Rabbat on the degree correlations of Barabasi-Albert networks, we compute the times of the diffusion peak and compare them with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-03 M. L. Bertotti , G. Modanese

Whether stochastic or parametric, the Pareto/NBD model can only be utilized for an in-sample prediction rather than an out-of-sample prediction. This research thus provides a neural network based extension of the Pareto/NBD model to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-06 Shao-Ming Xie

Auctions with partially-revealed information about items are broadly employed in real-world applications, but the underlying mechanisms have limited theoretical support. In this work, we study a machine learning formulation of these types…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Wenshuo Guo , Michael I. Jordan , Ellen Vitercik

To determine the welfare implications of price changes in demand data, we introduce a revealed preference relation over prices. We show that the absence of cycles in this relation characterizes a consumer who trades off the utility of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Rahul Deb , Yuichi Kitamura , John K. -H. Quah , Jörg Stoye

Additive models form a widely popular class of regression models which represent the relation between covariates and response variables as the sum of low-dimensional transfer functions. Besides flexibility and accuracy, a key benefit of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-20 Alhussein Fawzi , Mathieu Sinn , Pascal Frossard