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We identify a new natural coalescent structure, which we call the seed-bank coalescent, that describes the gene genealogy of populations under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect, where "dormant forms" of individuals (such as seeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Jochen Blath , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

We model the growth of a cell population using a piecewise deterministic Markov branching tree. In this model, each cell splits into two offspring at a division rate $B(x)$, which depends on its size $x$. The size of each cell increases…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Nathalie Krell

The evolution of aligned DNA sequence sites is generally modeled by a Markov process operating along the edges of a phylogenetic tree. It is well known that the probability distribution on the site patterns at the tips of the tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-15 Benny Chor , Mike Steel

We introduce and analyze a novel type of coalescent processes called cross-multiplicative coalescent that models a system with two types of particles, $A$ and $B$. The bonds are formed only between the pairs of particles of opposite types…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-30 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Peter T. Otto , Anatoly Yambartsev

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We consider a critical branching particle system in $\R^d$, composed of individuals of a finite number of types $i\in\{1,...,K\}$. Each individual of type $i$ moves independently according to a symmetric $\alpha_i$-stable motion. We assume…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Peter Kevei , Jose Alfredo Lopez Mimbela

We consider a model of a population in which individuals are sampled from different species. The Yule-Kingman nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Toni Gui

We study the loop clusters induced by Poissonian ensembles of Markov loops on a finite or countable graph (Markov loops can be viewed as excursions of Markov chains with a random starting point, up to re-rooting). Poissonian ensembles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Yves Le Jan , Sophie Lemaire

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

Consider two ancestral lineages sampled from a system of two-dimensional branching random walks with logistic regulation in the stationary regime. We study the asymptotics of their coalescence time for large initial separation and find that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

We provide a many-to-few formula in the general setting of non-local branching Markov processes. This formula allows one to compute expectations of k-fold sums over functions of the population at k different times. The result generalises…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Simon C. Harris , Emma Horton , Ellen Powell , Andreas E. Kyprianou

We survey results on the description of stochastically evolving genealogies of populations and marked genealogies of multitype populations or spatial populations via tree-valued Markov processes on (marked) ultrametric measure spaces. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-21 Andrej Depperschmidt , Andreas Greven

Consider the Markov process taking values in the partitions of N such that each pair of blocks merges at rate one, and each integer is eroded, i.e., becomes a singleton block, at rate d. This is a special case of exchangeable…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider a time-continuous branching random walk on a one-dimensional lattice on which there is one center (lattice point) of particle generation, called branching source. The generation of particles in the branching source is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 E. Filichkina , E. Yarovaya

We employ the framework of multitype Galton-Watson processes to model a population of dividing cells. The cellular type is represented by its biological age, defined as the count of harmful proteins hosted by the cell. The stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Serik Sagitov , Lotta Eriksson , Marija Cvijovic

We studied how to obtain a distribution for the number of ancestors in species of sexual reproduction. Present models concentrate on the estimation of distributions repetitions of ancestors in genealogical trees. It has been shown that is…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-12 M. Caruso , C. Jarne

We introduce a general diploid population model with self-fertilization and possible overlapping generations, and study the genealogy of a sample of $n$ genes as the population size $N$ tends to infinity. Unlike traditional approach in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Louis Wai-Tong Fan , Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley

Potential theory is a central tool to understand and analyse Markov processes. In this article, we develop its probabilistic counterpart for branching Markov chains. Specifically, we examine versions of quasi-processes or interlacements…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Steffen Dereich , Martin Maiwald

We study a class of coalescents derived from a sampling procedure out of N i.i.d. Pareto(alpha) random variables, normalized by their sum, including beta-size-biasing on total length effects (beta < alpha). Depending on the range of alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Thierry Huillet
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